Thought I'd try and start something I can do on a regular, at least 5 days a week, basis. So, here's my thoughts on Tuesday's card, or at least most of it.
Butler-SJU: Opened at 6 and now 5.5 at some sharp books. I doubt it goes a ton lower, and the initial buy is based on SJU's win over Providence and the fact that they lost to Butler at home. Revenge doesn't usu happen on the road. Butler stock sitll probably lower than it should be, but in a low scoring game (total s/b about 128) I doubt it comes below 5 and probably closes pretty close to where it is.
Wisconsin-Indiana: That's a huge number against a reasonable team. Badgers ARE that good, but IMO people will take the points this AM "just because". If they don't and it closes even close to where it is, Wisconsin probably does kill them with zero look-ahead.
Kentucky-UGA: Almost the exact same scenario as Wisconsin. UGA downgraded after SC debacle. Probably stays in the n'hood, but UGA gets to the line a ton and in a low scoring game it's probably UGA now or never. IMO it ticks down a bit.
Tennessee-Miss State: UT stock is up but they don't have agreat offense and play slow. My guess is the sharps (I still hate that word but can't think of a better one) will take the points and it closes a little lower than it opened.
Nebraska-N'Western: Right away people bought Nebraska -4.5. Not sure that isn't an over reaction to N'Western's W/L record more than anything. N'Western has been "in" most road games, so I think that eventually comes back a bit.
Oklahoma-WVU: I doubt this closes at 6 and perhaps ticks down. Eventually people will simply take a good WVU team plus 2-3 possessions, regardless of OU's big win over Oklahoma State, and the revenge from a one point loss in Morgantown.
L'ville-Miami: After L'ville's big win I am surprised that opened at -4. IMO people will eventually grab that because L'ville is in a huge sandwich spot between the emo win over UNC and a game w/UVA this weekend. However, I do think that it comes back later because there just IS that much talent discrepancy. Either Miami now, or L'ville later.
Florida-Vanderbilt: They simply had to favor UF here, but that's a tough one. UF's stock still higher than it should be and Vanderbilt's, especially at home, is not as high as it should be. Doubt it gets much better than Vanderbilt +2.
As of about 2PM EST - The Pros/sharper money/people that do this for a living, are betting Evansville, Miami, and Wisconsin. More late,
..