We have the SB ML in full force here, namely many of the Dog Bettors are Buckeye fans, and they are betting their team TO WIN.
The effect is that the game that opened 7, is currently lined at 6.2, has a very low ML (Current Matchbook line is -192/+188). Normally, if you wanted to bet the ML on a favorite of this size, you have have to lay -230 or more. (By example, the Dallas/GB line is LOWER at 5.5, but the ML is a more standard (-240/+218).
I fully expect the line on the game to continue to slip down. So how do we bet this?
If you Like Ohio State, grab the +6.5 -110 RIGHT NOW (still some left in Vegas). If you like Oregon, no hurry at all, keep watching the markets and eventually jump in with the Oregon ML where you will get a great bargain (likely the best number will be out there late Sunday night, or early Monday Morning). If you don't have any opinion on the game, likely a solid profitable middle to bet BOTH of these (RISKING a bit more on the Oregon Bet, maybe 2.2 units +6.5, RISKING 2.6units on Oregon to win maybe 1.4ish.
One thing to note is that this middle is that the total is SKY HIGH at 76, making this profitable middle not as strong as it would be if the total was lower. FURTHER, not that if all the NFL favorites win, this may mean you have to take the Oregon ML on Sunday, as the public surely will be pounding NFL Favorites Teasers and throwing in Oregon with them, so if the favorites all win (And Sea wins by 5), they surely will be staring at huge payouts they will have to make on Teasers if Oregon wins, and that WILL cause them to deal the ML higher at that point.
On the handicapping front, I have released my 1st NFL Divisional play, and will have many more this weekend. We had a BIG year +111.5 units in 2014, and hoping to DO IT AGAIN in 2015.
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY