After finishing the weekend w/ a 3-3 record, we followed the trend and finished yesterday by going 2-2 ATS in our plays. Once again "our day" was decided in the extras… had the Rays won their game, we would finish the day 3-1, but they lost and therefore, we had to content w/ a 2-2 day. We are now due to get some lucky decisions in the future…
We are now 44-24 in the second half of season for a nice +23.1 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +53.9 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. Please note that the average odds of my MLB plays are @ +101 / 2.01, so we are not talking about laying huge odds in favorites teams, instead, we have been aggressive in our approach w/ nice success.
FINAL UPDATE: 6 Plays for tonight w/ one Double Dime Play!
MLB - 967 Houston Astros @ 968 Philadelphia Phillies
(Starting Pitchers: D. Keuchel vs. K. Kendrick)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
Probably, this might be the first time I’ll ride the Astros on the road being favored by the Sportsbooks, but we have some good factors working in their favor.
Dallas Keuchel made 3 decent starts since the All Star break has his 3.00 FIP + 3.33 xFIP can attest. He had some outstanding numbers vs. LH batters w/ .244 BA + .280 wOBA + 2.69 FIP + 2.47 xFIP and for tonight, PHI’s lineup is loaded w/ LH batters:
1. Ben Revere (L) CF
2. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
3. Chase Utley (L) 2B
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B
5. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
6. Carlos Ruiz (R) C
7. Darin Ruf (R) LF
8. Cody Asche (L) 3B
9. Kyle Kendrick (R) P
In my opinion, Keuchel has a good spot to perform quite well tonight.
On the other end, PHI’s SP Kendrick is coming from another subpar performance, this time against the offensively challenged NYM offense. He had the awful mark of 4.97 FIP + 5.32 xFIP in that game! HOU offense has been decent for quite some time. I have ranked them #10 in L30 days and therefore, I expect Kendrick’s struggles to carry on for this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 967 Houston Astros ML (w/ D. Keuchel) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5 Dimes