Jul 1, 2025
·
Dave Essler
&
sleepyj
·
14 Views
John Deere Classic: Nationality Props Summary
This transcript captures a podcast discussion between [Sleepy J] and [Dave Essler] regarding nationality-based betting props for the John Deere Classic. The conversation presents analyses, player form, and strategic reasoning for betting choices across Oceania and Japanese golfers, with mention of broader Asian golfer props.
🎯 Conclusion
Sleepy J recommends Jason Day (-200) for Top Oceania in a 3-man field, citing his strong historical performance at the course (never missed a cut in six attempts, 3 top-25s) and the poor form of competitors Carl Villips and Endicott. Dave Essler supports Ryo Hisatsune (+135) as Top Japanese, despite a prior week setback, due to consistent form and a limited 4-man field. Sleepy J suggests that Ryo might also be a valuable pick for Top Asian, referencing the poor form of Siwoo Kim and Sungjae Im, potentially yielding greater odds (~+700). The conversation centers on calculated risks and identifying inefficiencies in limited-field nationality props.
📌 Key points
🟩 Jason Day dominance: Sleepy J strongly backs Jason Day (-200) for Top Oceania due to his flawless record at the course (0 cuts in 6 starts, 3 top 25s).
🔻 Endicott's struggles: Cited by Sleepy J, Endicott missed the cut in 4 of his last 5 events, and 8 or 9 of his last 10–11, making him a non-contender.
🚫 Villips untested: Carl Villips has no experience on the course and is in poor form (cut in last two events).
🇦🇺 Oceania prop narrowed: Only three golfers — Day, Villips, Endicott — make this a focused bet, increasing predictability.
🇯🇵 Ryo Hisatsune value: Dave Essler picks Ryo (+135) as top Japanese, based on form and competitiveness despite recent slip.
💔 Hideki’s interruption: Ryo had a promising run last week until Hideki Matsuyama's resurgence and his own Saturday falter derailed it.
📊 Small Japanese field: Just four players, making Ryo's bet highly feasible based on current form.
💡 Top Asian angle: Sleepy J notes that poor form by Siwoo Kim and Sungjae Im opens opportunity for Ryo to place top Asian — potentially at +700.
🧠Betting strategy: Sleepy J suggests using Jason Day in multi-bets to reduce juice, indicating high reliability.
💬 Podcast rapport: Mutual recognition of each other’s bets and friendly persuasion underscore the collaborative approach to wager insights.
📚 Summary
[0:00–1:19 | Sleepy J on Jason Day for Top Oceania]
Sleepy J selects Jason Day (-200) in a 3-player Oceania field, citing his course history (never missed cut in six appearances, 3 top-25 finishes) and the poor form of competitors Carl Villips (2 recent missed cuts, no course experience) and Endicott (8–9 missed cuts in last 10–11 events).
[1:20–2:17 | Dave Essler on Ryo Hisatsune for Top Japanese]
Dave backs Ryo Hisatsune (+135) as the top Japanese golfer. Although Ryo faded late last week, he was in contention (top 10–15 after Friday), and the field is short (4 players), supporting the bet based on Ryo’s form.
[2:18–3:09 | Sleepy J on Ryo for Top Asian]
Sleepy J builds on Dave's pick, suggesting Ryo might offer even better value as Top Asian due to weak performance from Siwoo Kim and Sungjae Im. He recalls Dave’s similar prop last week and supports the idea of stretching it beyond Japanese to Asian markets, aiming for +700 value again.
📱 LET'S CONNECT:
====================
âœ‰ï¸ $25 of Free Picks!
https://pregame.com/gate/router.aspx?s=16&pid=479
No Obligation | No Credit Card Required
Becoming a member is Fast and Free
#JasonDay
#RyoHisatsune
#GolfTips
#SportsBetting
#TopOceania
#TopAsian
#TopJapanese
#GolfAnalytics
#GolfStats
#FantasyGolf
#GolfPodcast
#BettingAnalysis
Topics:
PGA