May 19, 2025
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Griffin Warner
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Tuesday MLB FREE PICK: Angels at Athletics
This transcript from the "Tuesday MLB Free Pick" show features a discussion between Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner about the upcoming MLB matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Oakland Athletics. The conversation centers around pitching choices, betting lines, expected scoring, and speculative player analysis, particularly regarding Mike Trout’s return.
🎯 Conclusion
In this 3-minute baseball betting analysis (0:00–3:17), Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner focus on the pitching duel between Gunnar Hoglund and Kyle Hendricks. The Athletics are surprisingly strong home favorites at -155 despite starting Hoglund, a less experienced pitcher. Warner questions Hoglund’s reliability at such odds, highlighting the offensive uptick Oakland has seen since moving to a more hitter-friendly park in West Sacramento. Hendricks, meanwhile, is considered a known quantity—likely to allow around 3 earned runs in 5–6 innings with modest strikeouts and walks. Both analysts agree the game leans toward a high-scoring affair, favoring an over bet on the total set at 10. The potential impact of Mike Trout’s return is also humorously discussed, emphasizing his perpetual injury concerns.
🔑 Key Points
âš¾ Match Overview: Angels visit the Athletics in West Sacramento for a late game with a 10:05 ET start.
📉 Odds Breakdown: A’s are -155 favorites; Angels are at +140; total runs expected is 10.
👶 Pitcher Evaluation - Hoglund: Griffin expresses skepticism about Hoglund's readiness for this role despite his prospect status.
💥 Offensive Environment: Athletics' improved offense is attributed to switching from a poor to a pro-offense stadium.
💰 Value Perspective: Hendricks’ consistency might offer better value with the Angels at +140.
🎲 Scoring Expectation: Both agree that the game likely trends over 10 runs due to ballpark factors and pitching matchup.
📊 Hendricks Stat Forecast: Expected 5–6 innings, 3 earned runs, 4 strikeouts, a couple of walks.
🤕 Mike Trout Talk: Griffin mocks the fantasy community's annual optimism about Trout's health and durability.
🤨 Fan Commentary: Griffin includes a satirical opioid joke while discussing Trout’s potential impact.
ðŸŽ™ï¸ Final Thoughts: Conversation ends on a humorous note, with a mutual decision to avoid further talk on sensitive topics.
🧠Summary
(0:00 – 0:33, Munaf Manji)
The matchup between the Angels and A’s is introduced. Game starts at 10:05 PM ET in West Sacramento. Gunnar Hoglund starts for the A’s and Kyle Hendricks for the Angels. Athletics are -155 favorites, Angels at +140, with an over/under of 10.
(0:33 – 1:57, Griffin Warner)
Griffin critiques Hoglund’s readiness, noting he’s a promising but untested arm. He mentions the A’s had previously been underdogs with Hoglund. Griffin notes the Athletics’ offense has improved, possibly due to the new, more hitter-friendly park. He’s wary of trusting Hoglund at -155 and prefers the value on Hendricks and the Angels. Cites Hendricks’ past success against power teams. Suggests betting the over due to potential for lots of runs.
(1:57 – 2:08, Munaf Manji)
Munaf backs up Griffin, noting Hendricks typically delivers a 5–6 inning start with 3 earned runs, 4 strikeouts, and a couple of walks. This suggests a stable but unspectacular outing.
(2:09 – 2:23, Griffin Warner)
Griffin adds that if Hendricks limits the A’s to 3 runs, then at +140, the Angels provide solid value. Supports taking the Angels based on Hendricks’ projection.
(2:23 – 2:34, Munaf Manji)
Reinforces that a high-scoring game is likely. Shifts focus to speculation around Mike Trout’s return from injury.
(2:37 – 3:15, Griffin Warner)
Griffin humorously critiques fantasy players for trusting Trout to stay healthy, calling out annual misplaced optimism. He jokes about opioid use in relation to fantasy expectations, warns against unsafe practices, and lightens the mood with sarcasm.
(3:16 – 3:17, Munaf Manji)
Wraps up the segment with a casual sign-off, concluding the lighthearted discussion.
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