Wednesday NBA Best Bet from Munaf Manji on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview! #nbapodcast #nbapicks #nba

Mar 11, 2025 · MacKenzie Rivers · 52 Views

Munaf’s best bet is the over (237.5) in Mavericks vs. Spurs. He highlights San Antonio’s poor defense without Victor Wembanyama, leading to high-scoring games. The Spurs have allowed an average of 256 combined points in their last six contests. Despite missing key scorers, Dallas remains potent, and both teams play at a fast pace. Munaf expects a high-scoring affair.

Summary of Wednesday NBA Best Bet (RJ Bell’s Dream Preview)
Speaker: Munaf Manji
Timestamp: (0:00 - 3:23)

Best Bet: Over 237.5 in Mavericks vs. Spurs Game
Munaf Manji presents his best bet for Wednesday night, focusing on the game between the Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs. He strongly favors betting the over on the total points at 237.5, arguing that the number, which is already moving, is still set too low. He provides multiple reasons for this pick, backed by defensive inefficiencies, offensive firepower, and pace statistics.

Key Analysis and Quotes
San Antonio Spurs’ Defensive Struggles
“The San Antonio Spurs have fallen off a cliff defensively without Victor Wembanyama.”
“This team has now gone over the game total in six straight games, averaging 256 points per game in those games.”
“They are dead last in defensive efficiency over the last 10 games.”
Analysis:
Manji emphasizes that Wembanyama’s absence has severely impacted San Antonio's defense. Over their past six games, the Spurs' contests have averaged a whopping 256 total points, highlighting their inability to contain opponents. He also notes that they rank last in defensive efficiency in this span, suggesting a continued trend of high-scoring games.

Spurs' Offensive Contributors
“Offensively, they still have guys that can fill the basket—De’Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle.”
Analysis:
Even without Wembanyama, Manji argues that the Spurs maintain strong offensive production, led by De’Aaron Fox (one of the fastest guards in the NBA), Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, and Stephon Castle. This offensive talent keeps them competitive in shootouts, further supporting the over.

Dallas Mavericks’ Defensive Issues
“They allowed the Dallas Mavericks in their last game to put up 133 points, even without Luka Dončić, Kyrie Irving, and Anthony Davis.”
Analysis:
Manji underscores how porous the Spurs' defense has been by pointing out that they surrendered 133 points to a depleted Mavericks squad missing its three top scorers: Luka Dončić, Kyrie Irving (torn ACL), and Anthony Davis. This highlights how vulnerable San Antonio’s defense is, regardless of the opponent.

Recent Defensive Performances by the Spurs
“Over the last six games, they’ve allowed:
128 to Memphis
146 to Oklahoma City
113 to Brooklyn
127 to Sacramento
141 to Minnesota
133 to Dallas”
Analysis:
These numbers reinforce that San Antonio’s defense is consistently giving up high point totals, making the over an attractive bet.

Game Pace and Its Impact on Scoring
“The San Antonio Spurs are still playing at a very high pace over the last 10 games.”
“De’Aaron Fox is one of the fastest players in the entire league, so they’re going to be able to push the pace.”
“Dallas is number nine in pace over the last 10 games.”
“San Antonio is right above league average.”
Analysis:
Manji highlights that both teams are playing at an above-average pace, with Dallas ranked 9th in pace over the last 10 games and San Antonio slightly above league average. A fast-paced game typically leads to more possessions and scoring opportunities, another key factor supporting the over.

Defensive Ratings: Both Teams Are Poor
“San Antonio is dead last in defensive rating.”
“Dallas is also bottom five in defensive rating over the last 10 games.”
Analysis:
Both teams are among the worst defensive units in the league recently, creating the perfect environment for a high-scoring matchup.

Final Best Bet & Buy Point
“This number was at 236.5, it’s already up to 237.5.”
“My cutoff point would be at 240.”
“237.5 is my best bet as I go for win number three on the pod.”
Analysis:
Manji acknowledges that the total has already risen from 236.5 to 237.5, indicating that the betting market is also expecting a high-scoring game. However, he states that he would still bet the over up to 240 points, suggesting confidence in this pick.

Conclusion
Munaf Manji strongly supports the over 237.5 total points in the Mavericks vs. Spurs game based on:

San Antonio’s defensive collapse without Wembanyama.
High-scoring trends (256 average points in their last six games).
Dallas' and San Antonio's weak defensive ratings (both bottom five).
Fast-paced style of play (Dallas ranks 9th, Spurs above average).
Recent matchups where the Spurs allowed massive point totals (e.g., 133 to a depleted Mavericks squad).
His buy point is 240, but he recommends locking in 237.5 for the best value.

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Topics: NBA