Oct 8, 2024
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Griffin Warner
·
22 Views
Griffin Warner (0:00 - 0:25):
Griffin introduces the matchup between Washington and Iowa, noting the location at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa, famous for its tradition of waving at the Iowa Children’s Hospital. He highlights that Washington is the underdog by two and a half points on the road, with a game total set at 41 points. He also finds it notable that Washington is now part of the Big Ten, showing surprise at the conference's expansion.
Big East Ben (0:27 - 1:20):
Ben delves into Washington’s performance, explaining that they have struggled away from home. He mentions Washington’s loss to Rutgers and Washington State, underlining their inconsistency when playing outside their state. Ben points out that the early kickoff at 11 a.m. Iowa time will feel like 9 a.m. for the Washington players due to the time zone difference, which could affect their performance. He also refers to Washington’s recent win over Michigan, suggesting it could lead to an emotional letdown in this game.
Ben believes Iowa has an advantage, as they can control the game by running the ball. He emphasizes that Washington’s defense gave up nearly 200 rushing yards against Michigan, which signals a vulnerability Iowa could exploit. Given these factors, he confidently backs Iowa to cover the spread of minus two and a half points.
Griffin Warner (1:21 - 1:56):
Griffin shares some reservations about betting on Iowa, especially when it comes to a team that "likes to punt more than score." He acknowledges Ben’s points but expresses concern about Iowa’s offense, suggesting that it might struggle to put up points, even against a Washington team that is in a vulnerable position.
Instead of taking a side, Griffin opts to bet on the game going under 41 total points. He reasons that Washington could struggle with the early start, particularly given the environment in Iowa’s “cornfields,†while also noting that Washington doesn’t typically score a high volume of points. Griffin believes that these factors combined make a lower-scoring game more likely, which would favor his under bet.
Key Insights and Statistics:
Washington’s Struggles Away from Home: Ben emphasizes Washington’s inconsistent performance outside their state, mentioning losses to Rutgers and Washington State. This highlights a potential issue with their ability to perform on the road, particularly in a challenging environment like Kinnick Stadium.
Early Start and Time Zone Difference: Ben makes an important point about the early kickoff, which will feel like a 9 a.m. start for the Washington players due to the time zone difference. This could potentially impact their energy and readiness for the game.
Iowa’s Ground Game vs. Washington’s Defense: Ben points out that Washington gave up nearly 200 rushing yards to Michigan in their previous game, a key statistic that suggests Iowa’s run-heavy offense could find success against a susceptible Washington defense.
Game Total Set at 41 Points: Both speakers agree that the game is likely to be low-scoring. Griffin chooses to bet on the under, citing Washington’s offensive struggles and the early start time, which could result in a sluggish performance from both teams.
The analysis from both speakers provides a comprehensive breakdown of the matchup, with Ben favoring Iowa based on Washington’s vulnerabilities and Griffin opting for a low-scoring affair. Both highlight key statistics and contextual factors that could influence the game’s outcome, making for a well-rounded discussion of this Week 7 contest.
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