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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Wimbledon Fourth Round: Gentlemen's Betting Odds and Pick

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Monday morning marks the beginning of the Round of 16 at the All England Club. A total of 12 seeded players have made it to this fourth round at Wimbledon with four unseeded players also making an impressive run so far. There have been some upsets so far this season with Andy Roddick and Robin Sodderling going out early. The "Big 4" are still around as Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray all will look to make the finals at Wimbledon. I have a hard time trying to convince myself that one of these four won't win the tournament. They are the best four players in the game today and each has a chance to be crowned champion coming up July 3. Murray would make a great story as the champion at Wimbledon. An English-born male hasn't won at the All-England Club since Fred Perry won the title in 1936 during the Amatuer Era. That's 75 years of frustration for Brits.

Interesting fact: The Wimbledon title hasn't been won by a player named Federer or Nadal since 2002, when Lleyton Hewitt won.


Rafadel Nadal (1) vs. Juan Martin del Potro (24)

Nadal -470, del Potro +380 (Nadal has an 82.45% chance to win the match)

Nadal has won Wimbledon two out of the last three years and was beaten by Roger Federer in 2006 and 2007 in the finals. Currently Nadal is the best player in the world rankings' wise, and he's one of the odds-on favorites to win this title. He will have a tricky matchup, however, with Juan Martin del Potro today, a man who is ranked 21st in the world and has beaten Nadal three times in his career. Nadal, on the other hand, currently has five wins over del Potro.
Pick: Nadal, but not at that price.


Novak Djokovic (2) vs. Michael Llodra (19)

Djokovic -1500, Llodra +800 (Djokovic has a 93.75% chance to win the match)

Well, the moneyline pretty much tells us everything we need to know here. I think Djok is the best player on the planet at this very moment and we picked him to win Wimbledon. Djokovic has a 2-1 series lead between the two players and Llodra has fallen to 35th in the world. The Frenchman has had a pretty easy first two rounds and Djokovic will be too much to handle for him in this match.
Pick: Djokovic, but who wants to lay that kinda price?

 

Roger Federer (3) vs. Mikhail Youzhny (18)

Federer -5000, Youzhny +1800 (Federer has a 98.03% chance to win the match)

Federer has won six Wimbledon titles and is a -5000 in this match. That makes Youzhny 18/1 to win the match. Yes, 18/1. Pretty sure that's all we need to know about this one. Oh, you should also know Federer has beaten him all 10 times that have played each other. Pick: Federer.


Andy Murray (4) vs. Richard Gasquet (17)

Murray -385, Gasquet +315 (Murray has a 79% chance to win the match)

Here's where things start to get interseting. A Brit hasn't won Wimbledon since 1936, and I think it will remain that way after this season. Each of these men have won two matches against the other and Murray has all the pressure of England on him. Richard Gasquet isn't the best tennis player in the world but he is ranked 13th and is very good. I didn't think Murray looked very impressive in his win over Ivan Ljubicic, while Gasquet has looked real good in all three matches, taking each in straight sets. Too much pressure on Murray plus a good player in Gasquet takes down England's chance. Pick: Gasquet.


Tomas Berdych (6) vs. Mardy Fish (10)

Berdych -235, Fish +180 (Berdych has a 70% chance to win the match)

Fish is the last hope for the American men and he's taking on a Berdych player that is solid, doesn't beat himself and almost always comes out on top. I've been impressed with Fish's run so far in this tournament. Berdych, the sixth seed, has won all three of his matches in straight sets. This is going to be the most complete and even match on Monday. Both are ranked in the Top 10 in the world and they haven't had to face each other until now. I think we'll go with the hard-hitting American here with better odds. Pick: Fish.


David Ferrer (7) vs. Jo-Willy Tsona (12)

Tsonga -210, Ferrer +170 (Tsona has a 67.74% chance to win the match)

Ferrer obviously is the underdog here. However, Ferrer beat Tsonga in their only matchup last year in Italy. I know it was on clay, but it's still a victory. I haven't been impressed with Tsonga, whose antics and drama can lead to distraction. Ferrer struggled in the second round with youngster Ryan Harrison but bounced right back by pounding Karol Beck in straight sets. Tsonga is a great player but I like Ferrer with a chip on his shoulder and the public doubting him. Pick: Ferrer.


Bernard Tomic vs. Xavier Malisse

Malisse -175, Tomic +145 (Malisse has a 63.63% chance to win the match)

Malisse has won their only match and is the better player. Pick: Malisse.


Lukasz Kubot vs. Feliciano Lopez

Lopez -290, Kubot +230 (Kubot has a 74% chance to win the match)

Lopez owns a 1-0 record in this matchup and has had a tougher draw. Pick: Lopez.

 

Comments:

What do you think about the Round of 16 at Wimbledon?

 

 

 

 

  • Journalist living in West Michigan. Inaugural "Who's The Man" contest winner at Pregame.com.

Journalist living in West Michigan. Inaugural "Who's The Man" contest winner at Pregame.com.

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