Tuesday night college basketball and we will see the UNLV Runnin Rebels travel to Taco Bell Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos. The game has a start time of 11:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN U. Current Vegas betting odds have Boise State listed as 4 point favorites, while the total is set at 128.
Analysis: The UNLV Runnin Rebels come into this game off a solid 74-40 win over San Jose State. That win now puts UNLV at 10-6 on the year, but they are still just 1-2 on the year in the MWC so far. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games, but just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Rebels have been an average offensive team this year, ranking 166th in scoring (68.3 ppg), 133rd in shooting (44.4%), 129th in 3 point shooting (35.4%) and 294th in FT shooting (64.6%). Defensively the Rebels have been decent as they come in ranked 112th in points allowed (62.8 ppg), 18th in defensive FG% (36.9%) and 82nd in 3 point defense (30.9%).
The Boise State Broncos have lost 4 games in a row, which now has their record at 10-6 overall and 0-3 in the Mountain West Conference. The Broncos have played well at home, where they are 5-1 so far. Boise State is 21-45 ATS in their last 66 games following a ATS loss, 6-18 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games. Boise has been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 115th in scoring (70.7 ppg), 74th in shooting (45.8%), 44th in 3 point shooting (38.4%) and 63rd in FT shooting (72.4%). Defensively the Broncos come in ranked 114th in points allowed (62.9 ppg), 129th in defensive FG% (41.3%) and 145th in 3 point defense (32.7%).
Pick: Going with the Over in this game. Bose has played solid defense at home this year, but I feel that an improving UNLV offense can score on them in this game. Overall the Rebels have averaged just 65.3 ppg, but they have scored 69.4 ppg in their last 5 games. The UNLV defense has been bad on the road, where they have allowed 76.3 ppg and Boise's uptempo offense has scored 72.2 ppg at home. UNLV has hit 39.3% from long range and 79.7% from the charity stripe in their last 5 game, while Boise has been very solid from both those areas all year long. 70-65 here.
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