Tuesday major league baseball and I will have a free pick in the game between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets, which will take place at Citi Field in New York. First pitch is scheduled for a 7:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
San Diego -132
New York +142
Over/ Under: 6.5 O -120
The Padres come in playing god ball as they have won 8 of their last 11 games, but 9 of those games were on the road and they are just 23-27 on the road this year. The Mets took the last two in the series vs the Dodgers, but still they are struggling as they have won just 4 of their last 10 games. The Mets have been solid at home this year, where they are 34-16.
San Diego ranks 23rd in scoring (3.82 rpg), 29th in hitting (.236) and 18th in homers (85), while on the mound they are 18th in ERA (3.89) and 19th in WHIP (1.29). The Mets rank 29th in scoring (3.53 rpg), 30th in hitting (.236) and 20th in homers (81), while on the mound they are 3rd in ERA (3.26) and 1st in WHIP (1.18).
Getting the ball for the Padres tonight will be James Shields, who is 8-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 21 starts this year, while on the road he has gone 4-2 with a 5.01 ERA in 11 starts. James is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 2 carer starts vs the Mets.
Taking the hill for the Mets tonight will be Noah Syndergaard, who is 4-5 with a 2.97 ERA in 13 starts this year overall, while at home he has gone 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA in 6 starts. Noah's worst start of the year was vs the Padres, in a game the Mets lost 7-2. In that game he allowed 7 ERs on 10 hits in 4 innings of work.
Pick: Going with the Under in this one. Yes James shield has struggled on the road this year, but the offense he is facing is not that good at all. Yes the Mets have scored 3.9 rpg in their last 10 games, but remember that in one of those games they put up 15 runs. I don't see that happening here, especially since he allowed just 2 ERs in an earlier meeting with the Mets. New York has also scored just 3.67 rpg for Noah at home and just 2.2 rpg for him in his night starts. The Padres offense has really struggled of late as they have averaged just 2.8 rpg in their last 10 games and I don;t see them getting a whole love vs Syndergaard, who has a 1.74 ERA at home and a 1.59 ERA in his last 5 starts overall. Noah's 6 home starts have all gone under the total, with just 5.67 rpg being scored in those games. His worst start of the year was in San Diego and you can bet he will look for a good showing in this one. 3 or 4 runs at most here.
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