Introduction

As NFL Week 6 approaches, prop bettors are eager to find value in player performances, team matchups, and coaching dynamics. This article covers the NFL Week 6 player props, insights into the upcoming Monday Night Football (MNF) matchup between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills, and key player performances to look out for. Hosted by Munaf Manji, Sleepy J, and Steve Reider, the podcast delivers actionable betting advice for sharp bettors seeking to maximize their returns.

Recap of NFL Week 5 Success

The hosts begin by reviewing their outstanding Week 5 performance, where their collective picks went 9-3. Munaf highlights that this marks the second time this season they’ve hit such an impressive record, with their Monday night best bet on Patrick Mahomes to throw an interception also cashing in.

Jets Firing Robert Saleh: Reactions & Impact

One of the big headlines going into Week 6 is the New York Jets' firing of head coach Robert Saleh. The hosts discuss the implications of this decision. Sleepy J expresses sympathy for Saleh, believing he wasn’t given a fair chance given the team’s injuries and tough matchups. Steve, however, emphasizes that the real issue lies with Nathaniel Hackett, the offensive coordinator who hasn’t lived up to expectations. Both hosts agree that Saleh might find a new job as a defensive coordinator, as his success with the 49ers’ defense previously bodes well for his future.

NFL Week 6 Player Props: Quarterback Props

Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) – No Interception (-110)

Sleepy J likes the odds for Caleb Williams to avoid throwing an interception this week. He highlights that Williams has been careful with the ball over the last two weeks and praises his rising completion percentage. Sleepy points out that Jacksonville’s defense is among the worst in the league for pass defense, with no interceptions through five games, making Williams a strong bet to stay clean in Week 6.

Drake May (New England Patriots) – Over 24.5 Rushing Yards

Steve is targeting rookie Drake May for over 24.5 rushing yards in his first start. He explains that rookie quarterbacks often rely on their legs, especially when they’re adjusting to the speed of the NFL and facing pressure. Steve notes that Houston's defense, May’s opponent, has been vulnerable to mobile quarterbacks, with big rushing performances allowed to Caleb Williams and Josh Allen earlier in the season.

Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Munaf believes Kirk Cousins is primed to throw over 1.5 touchdowns in his Week 6 matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers' defense has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in every game this season. Given Cousins’ improvement over the last few weeks and the Panthers’ defensive injuries, this prop looks favorable.

NFL Week 6 Player Props: Running Back Props

Javonte Williams (Denver Broncos) – Under 71.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards

Sleepy J recommends betting the under on Javonte Williams for total rushing and receiving yards, citing Denver’s struggles on offense and the strong Chargers defense. He notes that Williams has been overused in recent games, and fatigue may be setting in.

Tank Bigsby (Jacksonville Jaguars) – Over 38.5 Rushing Yards

Steve sees value in Tank Bigsby exceeding 38.5 rushing yards, expecting Jacksonville to shift to more of a timeshare in the backfield. Bigsby has been more efficient than Travis Etienne, and with Chicago's defense ranking 21st in rushing EPA, Bigsby is poised to have a big game.

DeAndre Swift (Chicago Bears) – Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Munaf likes DeAndre Swift’s chances to go over 18.5 receiving yards, especially given his increased involvement in the passing game over the last four weeks. Swift has averaged over 22 receiving yards in each of his last four games and will face a Jacksonville defense that has allowed running backs to have success through the air.

NFL Week 6 Player Props: Wide Receiver & Tight End Props

CeeDee Lamb (Dallas Cowboys) – Over 82.5 Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb is projected to have a huge game against the Detroit Lions, according to Munaf. Detroit has struggled against slot receivers all season, allowing several players, including Cooper Kupp and Chris Godwin, to post over 100 receiving yards. Lamb's performance in the slot should help him surpass the 82.5-yard mark.

Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) – Over 32.5 Receiving Yards

Sleepy J expects Kyle Pitts to go over 32.5 receiving yards against the Carolina Panthers. Pitts is coming off a strong performance and faces a Panthers defense that ranks poorly against tight ends, making him a solid pick to clear this low line.

Zach Ertz (Washington Commanders) – Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

Sleepy J also bets on Zach Ertz to go over 25.5 receiving yards in his Week 6 matchup against the Ravens. He points out that Baltimore has one of the worst defenses against tight ends this season, allowing a high number of receiving yards to the position.

Monday Night Football Preview: Jets vs. Bills

Betting the Jets

The podcast’s consensus is that the Jets offer value at +2.5 points, or even on the money line. Sleepy J argues that the Bills, while a strong team, have struggled against good opponents this season and may be missing key players, including running back James Cook and wide receiver Khalil Shakir. The hosts suggest that the Jets’ defense, combined with the "new coach boost" effect after Saleh’s firing, could make this a profitable underdog bet.

Brees Hall – Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts

The player prop best bet for MNF is Brees Hall to exceed 12.5 rushing attempts. Munaf expects the Jets to lean heavily on their running game to take pressure off Aaron Rodgers, who has thrown an excessive number of passes in recent games. The firing of Robert Saleh and Todd Downing’s new play-calling responsibilities also point toward a run-heavy approach. Hall’s workload is expected to increase significantly in this game.

Conclusion

NFL Week 6 presents an exciting opportunity for sharp bettors to capitalize on player props and Monday Night Football action. With key player statistics and team dynamics analyzed, bets on Caleb Williams avoiding interceptions, Drake May’s rushing yards, and Brees Hall’s rushing attempts offer strong potential. The Jets-Bills MNF game also looks set for a close contest, with the Jets potentially pulling off an upset. Stay sharp and enjoy Week 6 betting!