Major League Baseball on Sunday and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Washington Nationals, which will be played at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for a 1:35 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Betting Odds
Pittsburgh +108
Washington -118
Over/ Under: 7.5 U -115
This is game 3 of a 3 game series between these National League foes. The Pirates came into this series rolling, but they have lost both games played so far and have been outscored 10-1 in the process. Pittsburgh does have the 2nd best record in the National League, but they are still 6 games behind the Cards in the NL Central. With the 2 wins in this series the Nats have grabbed back the lead in the NL East by a half game over the Mets. The Pirates rank 22nd in scoring (3.96 rpg), while on the mound they are 2nd in ERA (2.78). Washington ranks 9th in scoring (4.38 rpg), while on the mound they are 16th in ERA (3.86).
Trend for this game include: The Pirates are 21-6 in their last 27 during game 3 of a series and 17-5 in their last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, but just 9-21 in Mortons last 30 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Washington has gone 27-9 in Gonzalezs last 36 starts with 5 days of rest and 23-9 in his last 32 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, but just 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Getting the ball for Pittsburgh tonight will be Charlie Morton, who is 5-0 with a 1.62 ERA in 5 starts this year, while on the road he has gone 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA. Charlie is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA in 6 career starts vs the Nats, while in this park he is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA in 3 starts.
Toeing the rubber for the Nationals tonight will be Gio Gonzalez, who is 4-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 13 starts this year, while at home he has gone 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA. Gio is 2-0 with a 3.64 ERA in 5 career starts vs the Pirates.
Pick: Im going with the Nats in this one. Morton has pitched very well this year, but he does not have good numbers vs the Nats in his career and Washington is starting to play better and they still have Harper in the lineup. Gio has struggled at times this year, but hae has pitched well at home and he also is 2-0 in 5 career starts vs the Pirates. I look for the Nats to complete their 3 game sweep of the Pirates in this one.
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