Sunday baseball and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and theSan Diego Padres, which will be played at Petco Park in San Diego. First pitch is scheduled for an 4:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Over/ Under: 6.5 U -115
This is game 3 of a 3 game series between these NL West rivals in which the Dodgers have taken the first 2 of. Yesterday LA hit 4 HRs in an 11-8 slugfest, which is unusual for a game played at Petco. The Dodgers are now 11-6 on the year overall, but still just 3-5 away from home. The Padres have lost 4 in a row and are now 10-9 overall, including 5-4 at home.
The Dodgers come in ranked 6th in scoring (4.88 rpg), 4th in hitting (.275) and 2nd in homers (25), while on the mound they are 10th in ERA (3.54) and 10th in WHIP (1.18). The Dodgers have gone 43-17 in their last 58 vs. the National League West and 17-5 in their last 22 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game, but just 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
The Padres have surprisingly been one of the best offensive teams in the league as they rank 4th in scoring (4.89 rpg), 5th in hitting (.272) and 9th in homers (19), while on the mound they are 9th in ERA (3.51) and 18th in WHIP (1.31). San Diego has gone 21-5 in their last 26 games as a home favorite and 8-2 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, but just 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Getting the ball tonight for the Dodgers tonight will be Scott Baker, who will be making his first start of the year for the Dodgers. Last year scott pitched for Texas and was 3-4 with a 5.47 ERA in 25 games (8 Starts). As a starter he was 2-4 with a 5.80 ERA. Scott hasn't faced the Padres since 2011, but his is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 2 starts vs them.
Getting the ball for the Pads tonight will be Brandon Morrow, who is 0-0 this year with a 3.15 ERA in 3 starts this year. Brandon has never faced the Dodgers and he is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 6 games (3 Starts) at Petco in his career.
Pick: I will be going with the Padres in this game. They have lost 4 in a row, but they do have a decided edge on the mound in Morrow over Baker, who has never really been a great starter wherever he has pitched. The Padres do have the offense to compete in this game and they are 21-5 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. I see the Pads bouncing back with a strong game tonight.
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