Major League Baseball on Sunday and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners, which will be played at Safeco Field in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for a 4:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Betting Odds
Houston +110
Seattle -120
Over/ Under: 8 U -120
This is game 2 of a 3 game series between these American League West foes. The Astros came into this series rolling , but they have struggled here, losing both games so far. The Astros have the second best record in the AL and also have a 2.5 game lead over the Rangers in the AL West. Seattle is now 32-37 on the year and 8 games behind the Astros. The Astros rank 24th in scoring (3.84 rpg), while on the mound they are 3rd in ERA (3.16). The Mariners rank 8th in scoring (4.49 rpg), while on the mound they are 24th in ERA (4.43).
Trend for this game include: Houston is 20-9 in their last 29 games as an underdog and 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, but just 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Seattle is 5-12 in their last 17 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 2-10 in their last 12 games as a favorite.
Getting the ball for Houston tonight will be Vincent Velasquez, who is 0-0 with a 4.66 ERA in 2 starts this year, which are his only 2 starts of his career. He has allowed 5 ERs on 10 hits in 9.2 innings over work in those two starts.
Taking the hill for the Mariners tonight will be J.A. Happ, who is 3-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 13 starts this year, while at home he has gone 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in 6 starts. Happ has gone 3-0 with a 3.48 ERA in 5 starts vs the Astros in his career.
Pick: Going to go with the Under in this one. JA Happ has been very good at home this year and Houston has struggled on offense in this park. They score plenty of runs by the longball, but this is not a good homerun park, which is why their offense has struggled here. The Mariners have struggled all year on offense and they have yet to fave Velasquez, which should give him an edge here. I look for 5 uns or less here.
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