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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks

Expanded Summary of AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks


Introduction

  • Host: Will Doctor (0:15 - 0:28)
  • Preview of the PGA Tour’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am, promising sharp picks for the event.

Event Overview (0:37 - 12:16)

  • 80-player field, featuring 45 of the top 50 golfers.
  • Top players include:
    • Scotty Scheffler (#1) – Returns after a hand injury.
    • Rory McIlroy (#2) – First 2025 PGA Tour start.
    • Colin Morikawa & Hideki Matsuyama – Top contenders.
  • Course Breakdown:
    • Played at Pebble Beach & Spyglass Hills.
    • No cut; all four rounds at Pebble Beach after first two rounds.
    • Key factors: Short game, approach shots under 125 yards, and putting on POA greens.

Past Tournament Winners

  • 2020: Nick Taylor (-19) defeated Kevin Streelman.
  • 2021: Daniel Berger (-18) edged Maverick McNealy.
  • 2022: Tom Hoagie (-19) beat Jordan Spieth.
  • 2023: Justin Rose (-18) won over Brendan Todd.
  • 2024: Wyndham Clark (-12, 54-hole event).

Farmers Insurance Open Review (-5.3 Units)

  • Wins:
    • White check mark Shane Lowry over J.J. Spaun (Round 1)
    • White check mark K.H. Lee over Wesley Bryan (Round 4)
  • Losses:
    • X Ludwig Aberg (win, top 10, over Sungjae Im all failed).
    • X Justin Rose missed cut (Shot 80 in Round 2).
    • X Daniel Berger top 20 lost due to poor iron play & putting.
    • X Austin Eckroat over Mark Hubbard failed.
  • Live Betting Regret: Failed to bet on Harris English early.

Wesley Bryan & YouTube Golf Controversy (12:16 - 15:56)

  • Doctor bet K.H. Lee over Bryan, citing poor ball striking and focus on YouTube golf.
  • Bryan publicly acknowledged his PGA Tour career was ending.
  • Doctor’s take:
    • Dismissed YouTube golf as irrelevant, calling the community "clowns."
    • Emphasized only caring about PGA Tour events.
    • Bryan responded: "Hopefully the few dollars was worth the disparagement of the YouTube community."
    • Doctor stood by his stance, only valuing competitive professional golf.

Key Player Picks & Betting Odds

  1. Trophy Scotty Scheffler (+525)
    • Best short-approach stats, strong Pebble history.
    • Pick: WINNER #1
  2. X Rory McIlroy (+1200)
    • Poor putting at Pebble, finished 66th in both prior starts.
    • Pass.
  3. Bulb Justin Thomas (+1600)
    • Improved putting, elite iron play, finished T6 at Pebble in 2024.
    • Pick: Top 5 bet (+400).
  4. X Colin Morikawa (+1600)
    • Withdrew last week due to flu, limited Pebble experience.
    • Pass.
  5. X Ludwig Aberg (+1800)
    • Putting struggles at Torrey Pines.
    • Pass.
  6. X Hideki Matsuyama (+2200)
    • 71st place at Pebble in 2024, putting concerns.
    • Pass.
  7. X Sungjae Im (+2800)
    • T4 at Torrey, trending up, but historically weak at Pebble.
    • Pass.

Best Bets & Matchups

  1. White check mark Shane Lowry over Tony Finau (-120)
    • Lowry solid, Finau missed two cuts & just had a sixth child.
  2. White check mark Rasmus Højgaard over Tony Finau (-112)
    • DP World Tour star, elite ball striking.
  3. White check mark Tom Kim top 10 (+450)
    • Excellent short-approach stats, putting confidence with a new putter.
    • Pick: WINNER #2 (+7000).
  4. Trophy Gary Woodland to win (+17500)
    • 2019 U.S. Open winner at Pebble, strong recent play.
    • Pick: WINNER #3.

DFS & Fantasy Lineups

DraftKings ($50K budget)

  1. Justin Thomas ($9.8K)
  2. Maverick McNealy ($8.1K)
  3. Tom Kim ($7.8K)
  4. Robert MacIntyre ($7.7K)
  5. Akshay Bhatia ($7.3K)
  6. Gary Woodland ($6.5K)

PGA Tour Fantasy

  1. Scotty Scheffler (Captain)
  2. Tom Kim
  3. Gary Woodland
  4. Robert MacIntyre
  5. Akshay Bhatia
  6. Maverick McNealy (Bench)

Final Predictions & Closing Thoughts

  • Winning Score: -16
  • Best Bet: Scotty Scheffler Top 5 (+125)
  • First-round leader bets to be announced on Twitter.
  • Next Week: Phoenix Open Preview.

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