Today the California Golden Bears will take on the Arizona Wildcats in the Quarterfinals of the Pac-12 Tournament, which will be held at the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas Nevada. The game has a start time of 3:10 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on the Pac-12 Network. Current Vegas betting odds have the Wildcats listed as 18 point favorites, while the total is set at 138.5.
Analysis: The California Golden Bears had won just 1 of their last 6 down the stretch of the regular season, but they put that slump behind them as they had a rather easy first round win over the Washington State Cougars. For the year the Bears are now 18-14 and are most likely headed for one of the lesser post season tournaments. Cal has gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Cal Bears have been a very average offensive team, as they come in ranked 188th in scoring (67.0 ppg), 127th in shooting (44.3%), 98th in 3 point shooting (36.1%) and 304th in FT shooting (65.2%). Defensively the Bears have been average as well this year, ranking 190th in points allowed (67.1 ppg), 144th in defensive FG% (42.4%) and 111th in 3 point defense (33.0%).
The Arizona Wildcats are the top seed in the Pac-12 Tournament and have won 8 games in a row, which includes a road win at Utah and then back to back blowout home wins over California and Stanford. The Cats are now 28-3 overall, while also posting a 16-2 record in the Pac-12. Arizona has gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Wildcats have been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 22nd in scoring (76.6 ppg), 6th in shooting (49.1%), 114th in 3 point shooting (35.6%) and 156th in FT shooting (69.6%). Defensively the Wildcats have been very good this year, ranking 17th in points allowed (58.9 ppg), 28th in defensive FG% (39.2%) and 93rd in 3 point defense (32.5%).
Pick: Going with the Under here. in their last 2 games the Wildcats put up 99 and 91 points and the 99 was vs California. I Look for the Bears to have a better defensive effort in this one. I also look for the Cats to play this one a bit differently as once they get up big in this one they will call off the dogs a bit earlier, know that they will most likely be playing 3 games in 3 nights. 75 points at most here from Arizona, while Cal will not put up more than 59 points vs a Wildcat defense that has allowed just 57.4 ppg in their last 5 games.
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