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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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    Today - 8:21 AM

Pro Football Betting Odds Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Free Pick

Sunday NFL and we will see the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on Fox. Current Vegas odds have the Browns listed as 1 point favorites, while the total is set at 44.  

Analysis: The Cincinnati Bengals come into this game with an 8-4-1 record overall, including a 4-2-1 record at home. Their record has them with a half a game lead over the Steelers and Ravens in the AFC North. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December, but just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Bengals are a rather average offensive team, ranking 17th in total yards, 20th in passing, 10th in rushing and 19th in scoring (21.6 ppg). On defense Cincinnati has not been all that good, ranking 29th in yards allowed, 21st vs the pass, 27th vs the run and 15th in points allowed (22.2 ppg).

The Cleveland browns are sitting in the basement of the AFC North, but still they have a 7-6 record and are yet to be eliminated from playoff contention. The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, but just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Browns have not been a great offensive team, ranking 13th in total yards, 15th in passing, 18th in rushing and 20th in scoring (21.2 ppg). The defense has been solid for the Browns as they come in ranked 20th in yards allowed, 9th vs the pass, 26th vs the run and 11th in points allowed (20.8 ppg).

Pick: I will look at the under here. Johnny Manziel is starting for the Browns in this one, but the team still has a shot at a playoff berth, so I really expect a conservative game plan for the Browns. They can play conservative on offense, knowing that they have a tough defense behind them that has allowed just 19.3 ppg at home and will be taking on a struggling Bengals offense that has averaged just 17.4 ppg in their last 5 games and just 17.2 ppg on the road. The Bengal defense has not been great this year, but still they have allowed just 20.3 ppg on the road and won't really have to do a whole lot to stop what should be a popgun attack of the Browns. Can't see this one hitting the 40s at all.    

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