NFL Week 15 and we will see as the New Orleans Saints travel to St Louis, Missouri to take on the St Louis Rams. The game has a start time of 4:25 pm (Eastern) and be will televised on FOX. Current odds have New Orleans listed as 6.5 point favorites, while the total sits at 48.
Analysis: The Saints can clinch a playoff spot this Sunday with a victory over the Rams and keep their claim on first place in the division after moving a game past Carolina with last weekend's 31-13 home win over the Panthers. The statement victory moved New Orleans to 10-3. It was a milestone day for QB Drew Brees, who threw for 313 yards and 4 Tds vs Carolina's top-ranked defense. In the process, Brees became the fifth player in NFL history to reach 50,000 career passing yards. Tight end Jimmy Graham is having a superb campaign (74 receptions for 1,046 yards and 14 scores) but has slowed down lately, compiling less than 60 receiving yards in four of the past five games. Saints WR Marques Colston had nine receptions for 125 yards and two touchdowns against the Panthers after having just two TDs entering the contest. New Orleans held Carolina to 239 total yards last weekend and ranks sixth in total defense (313.6 YPG). The Saints are also giving up under 19 points per game.
The Rams (5-8) improved to 3-3 at home after a 42-21 victory over Chicago on Nov. 24. Since then, they've been outscored 53-23 in road losses to San Francisco and Arizona, which that eliminated them from playoff contention. A bright spot for the Rams has been the play of rookie RB Zac Stacy (721 yards), who has exceeded expectations and needs a strong finish to join Eric Dickerson (1983) and Jerome Bettis (1993) as the only rookies in franchise history to record 1,000-yard seasons. Kellen Clemens, who has thrown one TD and three INTs in the last two games, was sacked a season-high four times in last Sunday's 30-10 loss to the Cardinals. He's been sacked 18 times since replacing the injured Sam Bradford. Defensively the Rams are not all that bad, ranking 19th in total defense and 14th in points allowed, but they do rank 22nd vs the pass and that is bad news vs this offense.
Pick: I really like the Under in this game. The Saints are a beast on offense at home, but on the road they have averaged just 18.8 ppg and in their only other road dome game they were able to score just 17 points, and that was vs a bad Atlanta defense. Today they will not be playing a bad defense as the Rams come in allowing just 23.7 ppg overall and 24.7 ppg at home. The Ram offense has been poor all year as they have averaged just 22.2 ppg and have score 21 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. The Rams will face the most improved defense in the league, as the Saints have allowed just 313.6 ypg and 18.7 ppg on the year. On the road this year they have allowed just 22.5 ppg and their road games have averaged just 41.3 ppg. I see this one finishing right around that 41 point mark, giving us a comfortable play on the Under.
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