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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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NFL Football Free Pick Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

NFL week 10 and the Tennessee Titans will travel to M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas odds have the Ravens listed as 10 point favorites, while the total is set at 43.5.  

Analysis: The Tennessee Titans have not had a good year so far, as they come into this game with a 2-6 record, which puts them in 3 place in the AFC South. Tennessee has gone 1-3 on the road this year, which is the same record for them in their home games. The Titans are 5-1 ATS the last 6 in the series, but are also 16-35-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The Titans have not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 27th in total yards, 24th in passing, 20th in rushing and 29th in scoring (17.1 ppg). The defense has not been that good either, ranking 23rd in yards allowed, 16th vs the pass, 28th vs the run and 22nd in points allowed (25.2 ppg).

The Baltimore Ravens come in off a bad 43-23 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday night. The loss now has Baltimore sitting in last place in the AFC North with a 5-4 record on the year. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS as favorites before their bye week and 0-6 ATS as favorites of more than 9 points vs a sub .400 opponent, but are also 10-0 ATS in games 9-12 at home vs a non-division opponent off a DD ATS loss. Baltimore has been a solid offensive team, ranking 9th in total offense, 12th in passing, 10th in rushing and 8th in scoring (26.7 ppg). The defense has also been very solid for this team, ranking 12th in total yards, 24th vs the pass, 6th vs the run and 4th in points allowed (19.3 ppg).

Pick: The Ravens are coming off a really bad loss to the Steelers and I expect them to bounce back in a big way in this game. I know that favorites don’t do well after playing the Steelers, but this is a bad Titans team that has no offense and very little defense. The Titans come in averaging just 17.1 ppg on the year and just 16.8 ppg on the road and I don’t expect that to improve a whole lot vs a Baltimore defense that has allowed just 11.5 ppg at home this year. On the flipside we note that the Titans have allowed 25.8 ppg on the road, while Baltimore has scored 27.3 ppg at home. Baltimore is clearly the better team here and will win this one by 14 or more.  

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