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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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    04/22/2024 10:46 AM

NBA Sunday Atlanta Hawks @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Game Analysis, Odds, Free Pick

Today on the NBA, we will see the Atlanta Hawks travel to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in an exciting contest. The game is scheduled for an 7:00 pm start time and it will be televised live on SPSO (Atlanta) and FS Oklahoma (Oklahoma City). Currently the odds for the game have the Thunder favored by 9,5 points, while the totals line is set at 198.5 points. Opening lines had the Thunder favored by 9,5 points, while the totals line was set at 199 points.

Game Analysis: This is a great spot for Oklahoma City to have a great offensive outburst. After a tough loss in San Antonio, the Thunder played a back to back game against Portland at home and they still scored 106 points in a bad spot. They are now rested for this contest and they will face Atlanta's poor defense, who will be without Josh Smith and Johan Petro, so they will be super undersized in here. 

Atlanta is still a work in progress, even though they had a good preseason. However, on their first game of the regular season, it was immediately evident that they have a problem: a bad perimeter defense and especially, their inability of stopping the dribble penetration of the opposing guards, something that James Harden took advantage to completely pound them with 14-19 FG, 15-17 FT and 45 points! Without Josh Smith's versatility, how will Atlanta stop Russell Westbrook? They won't! Very few teams can limit Westbtook's high speed game and Atlanta isn't certainly one of them right now. 

The Hawks also had a new identity on offense, with a much quicker pace than usual. In fact, they scored an incredible 33 fast break points against Houston, while their outside shooting is terrific! Kendrick Perkins is limited with a leg injury and I don't believe he will play major minutes tonight, so with Atlanta playing with an undersized lineup, we will watch Kevin Durant at the PF position for major minutes tonight, something that indicates that the Thunder will play small ball in here, something that improves their offense. I expect a fast paced game in here, with both teams having a good offensive night, especially Oklahoma City, therefore I'll be taking the Over in here.

Free Pick: Take Over 198.5 in here (Single Dime Play)

For more great content on the NBA check my NBA Daily Thread and follow me @gomescapper via twitter. For more information about today's NBA Card, check also my Pregame Pros Page!

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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