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Stories

Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets NBA Playoff Betting Odds Game 4 Free Pick

The Western Conference Finals continue on Monday night and I will have a free pick in Game 4 between the Golden State Warriors and the Golden State Warriors, which will take place at Oracle Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. The game has a start time of 8:30 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on TNT. Current Vegas betting odds have the Warriors listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 213. 

Analysis: The Golden State Warriors struggled in their two home games vs the Rockets in this series as they failed to put them away when having big leads in the games. The did not happen in game 3 as they parlayed a 12 point lead after the first quarter into a 35 point win. Now the Warriors look to close out the series. Golden State has gone 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, but just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The  Warriors have scored 106.7 ppg on 46.0% shooting overall and 38.3% from long range on the road this year. Defensively they have been decent on the road as they have allowed 100.3 ppg on 42.8% shooting overall and 32.4% shooting from long range.

The Houston Rockets came into this series with some momentum after the took out the Clippers in 7 games. The Rockets showed they wouldn't give up in the first two looses to the Warriors, but they just couldn't sustain that level of play after falling behind big to Golden state in game 3. Now the Rockets are looking to stave off elimination. Houston has gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS loss. The Rockets have scored 104.3 ppg on 44.2% shooting overall and 34.8% from long range at home for the year. Defensively they have been decent at home as they have allowed 99.2 ppg on 45.8% shooting overall and 29.3% shooting from long range.    

Pick: I have a feeling this one will go over the total. The Rockets must throw everything they have at the Warriors or this will be their last game of the season. I really expect them to push the tempo here. The Warriors will play that was as well as tyhey look to end this series and get the long break before the NBA finals start. All 3 games have played to the Under in this series so far, but I am looking for that to change in this one. 

 

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