MLB Tuesday Preview and Best Bets: Full Breakdown and Key Insights

Introduction

Welcome to a full breakdown of the MLB Tuesday betting preview as discussed on the latest MLB Gambling Podcast on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview. Hosts Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner dissect each game for the Tuesday card, analyzing matchups, pitching stats, team trends, and best bets — all based strictly on the podcast transcript.

American League Matchups

Twins vs Guardians

• Chris Paddack (Twins) has lost all five of his starts this season. While he improved recently (15 IP, 4 ER over last three starts), Minnesota remains shaky.

• Tanner Bibee (Guardians) has shown inconsistency but boasts strong historical stats against the Twins.

• Betting Lean: Under 8 runs due to weather and weak offenses.

Yankees vs Orioles

• Carlos Rodón has homerun vulnerabilities, especially risky at Camden Yards.

• Kyle Gibson makes his season debut for the Orioles, another concern.

• Betting Lean: Over 9.5 runs due to bullpen issues and shaky starters.

Royals vs Rays

• Todd Bradley struggles with home runs and walks (12 walks over last 4 starts).

• Michael Lorenzen is overperforming but trusted over Bradley.

• Betting Lean: Royals ML (+129) as underdogs.

National League Showdowns

Cardinals vs Reds

• Myles Mikolas has a horrific 22 earned runs allowed in last four starts vs. Reds.

• Brady Singer isn’t dominant but plays at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

• Betting Lean: First 5 Over and Full Game Over 9.5.

Nationals vs Phillies

• Mackenzie Gore shines against Phillies (13 K’s last start vs. them).

• Phillies have a lefty-heavy lineup, which plays into Gore's strength.

• Betting Lean: First 5 Under (around 4 runs).

Diamondbacks vs Mets

• D-backs bullpen injury crisis (A.J. Puk, Justin Martinez issues).

• David Peterson is reliable for the Mets.

• Betting Lean: Mets ML (-136) and Over 8.5 runs.

Additional Insights Across Games

Brewers vs White Sox

• Freddy Peralta can't sustain performances deep into games.

• Bryce Wilson (bullpen arm) expected to spot start.

• Betting Lean: Brewers -1.5 (if betting at all).

Tigers vs Astros

• Reese Olson (Tigers) dominated Padres in last start.

• Ryan Gusto (Astros) surprisingly solid despite makeshift rotation.

• Betting Lean: Under 7.5 runs.

Braves vs Rockies

• Herman Marquez disastrous over past 3 starts (18 ER).

• Braves offense expected to rebound.

• Betting Lean: Braves Run Line (-1.5) and Team Total Over.

Giants vs Padres

• Pitcher duel expected: Logan Webb vs Nick Pivetta.

• Padres +110 ML offers value in a low-scoring, tight game.

• Betting Lean: Padres ML and slight lean to Under 7.

Angels vs Mariners

• Both offenses weak.

• Bryce Miller has walk issues but benefits pitching at T-Mobile Park.

• Betting Lean: Under 8 runs.

Best Bets Summary

Key Takeaways

• Betting under in Twins vs Guardians and Nationals vs Phillies due to weak offenses and weather.

• Fade vulnerable starters like Chris Paddack, Carlos Rodón, Todd Bradley, and Myles Mikolas.

• Bullpen health heavily affects decisions: Diamondbacks and Yankees specifically in trouble.

• Look for live betting opportunities after bullpens come into play — especially Phillies games.

• Value found backing home underdogs (Royals, Blue Jays, Padres) this Tuesday.