? Expert MLB Betting Breakdown – Tuesday, June 10, 2025
This article is a detailed conversion of the MLB betting discussion from the RJ Bell’s Dream Preview podcast featuring Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner. The dialogue dissects each of Tuesday’s matchups, focusing on betting angles, pitcher performance, team trends, and best-value plays—perfect for seasoned bettors and fantasy players seeking a data-informed edge.
? Game-by-Game Betting Breakdown
Reds at Guardians (6:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Andrew Abbott vs. Slade Ciccone
Line: CLE -115 | CIN +104 | Total 8
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Abbott was stellar in May (32.2 IP, 2 ER) but regressed against the Brewers.
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Guardians bullpen praised, but 4–12 vs LHP raises concern.
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Munaf backs CIN at plus odds; Griffin favors CLE due to bullpen trust.
Best Bet: Slight lean to Guardians at home.
Marlins at Pirates (6:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Sandy Alcantara vs. Mitch Keller
Line: PIT -126 | MIA +104 | Total 8
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Alcantara: 2–7, 7.89 ERA, vulnerable in late innings.
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Keller: 8–1, 4.13 ERA, volatile but supported.
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Both hosts skeptical of Sandy, lean Pirates if price holds.
Best Bet: Cautious lean to Pittsburgh.
Cubs at Phillies (6:45 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Colin Rea vs. Mick Abel
Line: PHI -113 | CHC +103 | Total 9.5
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Phillies slumping without Harper.
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Rea strong in last two starts, Abel solid in limited exposure.
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Under 9.5 identified as best angle due to pitching and quiet bats.
Best Bet: Under 9.5.
? Nationals at Mets (7:10 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Mackenzie Gore vs. Griffin Canning
Line: NYM -156 | WSH +141 | Total 7.5
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Gore: 19 IP, 1 ER last 3 starts.
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Canning: 6–2, 2.90 ERA, dominating vs. Dodgers.
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Lean to Mets RL or parlay piece; under also viable.
Best Bet: Mets -1.5 at +134.
? Rays at Red Sox (7:10 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Ryan Pepiot vs. Lucas Giolito
Line: TB -111 | BOS +101 | Total 9.5
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Giolito imploded vs Angels (6 ER in 1st inning).
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Pepiot 0–4 vs BOS, but Rays value due to BOS inconsistency.
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Total trending to 9.5. Griffin calls Red Sox the "worst" team currently.
Best Bet: Over 9.5.
Yankees at Royals (7:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Max Fried vs. Noah Cameron
Line: NYY -196 | KC +176 | Total 8.5
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Royals 7–4 SU vs LHP, 8–3 RL.
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Yankees shaky RL despite Fried’s solid record.
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Lean Royals +1.5 or under 8.5 due to pitching park.
Best Bet: Under 8.5.
Braves at Brewers (7:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Grant Holmes vs. Quinn Priester
Line: ATL -119 | MIL +108 | Total 8.5
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Braves bullpen is collapsing; Iglesias demoted.
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Priester in strong form; Holmes lacks depth.
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Market overvalues Atlanta’s brand.
Best Bet: Brewers +108 or Over 8.5.
Blue Jays at Cardinals (7:45 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Chris Bassett vs. Myles Mikolas
Line: TOR -119 | STL +108 | Total 8.5
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Bassett: 1–5 team record in road starts.
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Mikolas: 5–0 SU in last 5 outings.
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Both hosts agree STL is mispriced.
Best Bet: Cardinals +108.
White Sox at Astros (8:10 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Shane Smith vs. Lance McCullers Jr.
Line: HOU -194 | CHW +162 | Total 8
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McCullers won last 4 starts, albeit vs weak opponents.
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Astros bats clicking even without Yordan Alvarez.
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Caution on RL at home, but value on plus-odds run line.
Best Bet: Astros -1.5 at +112.
? Giants at Rockies (8:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Kyle Harrison vs. Carson Palmquist
Line: SF -210 | COL +189 | Total 11.5
Best Bet: Over 11.5 or Giants Team Total Over.
Mariners at Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)
Key Matchup: Bryan Woo vs. Brandon Pfaadt
Line: SEA -113 | ARI +103 | Total 9
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Woo: Slight road dip, but generally reliable.
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Pfaadt: 13 ER in last 2 starts (3 IP).
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Diamondbacks' bullpen questionable.
Best Bet: Mariners -113.
Bonus Coverage
No Lines Yet
Best Bets Recap
? Griffin: Guardians -115
? Munaf: Cardinals ML (+108)
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