MLB Tuesday Best Bet: Dodgers vs. Mets — Griffin Warner on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview
In the latest segment from RJ Bell’s Dream Preview, Griffin Warner and Munaf Manji break down their top MLB betting pick for Tuesday’s action. The spotlight is firmly on the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets matchup, with Griffin confidently backing Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Here’s the full breakdown based solely on their conversation.
Griffin Warner’s Pick: Dodgers -136 vs. Mets
Griffin Warner immediately puts forward his best bet: the Los Angeles Dodgers at -136 against the visiting New York Mets. His reasoning centers around Clayton Kershaw’s historical dominance, current form, and the opposing pitcher’s vulnerabilities.
Historical Dominance of Clayton Kershaw
Griffin highlights Kershaw’s staggering 11-0 career record against the Mets as the foundation for his confidence. He describes this record as “incredible” and ties it back to a personal memory of watching Kershaw pitch years ago at Citi Field. The long-term trends favor the Dodgers, who have consistently outperformed the Mets over the years.
Tyler McGill’s Struggles
Turning to the Mets, Griffin analyzes starting pitcher Tyler McGill’s limitations. He points out McGill’s inability to consistently throw strikes, raising concerns about his ability to last deep into the game. As a result, Griffin anticipates that the Mets bullpen will be called upon early, which could expose them to additional risk given bullpen parity or possible disadvantage compared to the Dodgers.
Betting Value on the Dodgers
Beyond player matchups, Griffin emphasizes the value in the current betting line. At -136, he believes the price does not accurately reflect the Dodgers' edge, calling it "too cheap" for a pitcher with Kershaw's track record and current form.
Munaf Manji Endorses the Pick
Munaf Manji fully supports Griffin’s selection, providing additional insights that reinforce the Dodgers pick.
Surprising Odds
Munaf echoes Griffin’s surprise at the betting line, stating that the price “really made me scratch my head.” He concurs that the odds appear undervalued considering Kershaw’s dominant history against the Mets.
Recent Form of Clayton Kershaw
Munaf offers a recent performance update on Kershaw, noting that after a rough outing against the Angels, Kershaw has rebounded with two strong starts. This signals a return to form, increasing confidence in his ability to handle the Mets lineup.
Dodgers’ Offensive Support
Another crucial factor Munaf highlights is the Dodgers' potent offense. Even if Kershaw has a subpar outing, the offensive firepower can still carry the team to victory, providing a cushion for bettors.
Key Statistics Summary
| Factor |
Player/Team |
Statistic |
Significance |
| Historical Record |
Clayton Kershaw |
11-0 vs. Mets |
Absolute dominance |
| Recent Performance |
Clayton Kershaw |
2 strong starts after bad outing |
Strong current form |
| Control Issues |
Tyler McGill |
Struggles to throw strikes |
Likely short outing |
| Bullpen Usage |
Mets |
Heavy bullpen reliance expected |
Increased risk |
| Offensive Support |
Dodgers |
Consistent scoring |
Safety net for pitchers |
| Betting Line |
Dodgers |
-136 odds |
Value opportunity |
Conclusion
Griffin Warner’s best bet is a confident pick on the Dodgers at -136, backed by a perfect historical record for Kershaw against the Mets, current good form, and strong offensive support. With Tyler McGill’s control issues likely leading to early bullpen usage for the Mets, both Griffin and Munaf view this as a strong value play for Tuesday’s MLB slate.
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