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Stories

Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
  • Last Update:
    11/24/2021 7:15 PM

MLB Saturday Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets: Start Time, Odds, Free Pick

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Saturday afternoon baseball and we will see the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the New York Mets in game 2 of their 3 game series from Citi Field in New York. The game is scheduled for a 1:05 (ET) pm start time and it will be televised live on  KCAL (Los Angeles) and WPIX (New York). Currently the odds have Los Angeles  favored at -121, while New York is dogs of +114. The total for the game sits at 8.5 runs.

Free Analysis: The Dodgers have been in survival mode for over a month as they battle San Francisco for supremacy in the National League West. Los Angeles defeated the Mets by a 7-6 count on Friday to maintain their distance behind first place SF. The reason the LAD are in second is because Friday's win was only their third in eleven contests as the scoring has been erratic. Offense wasn't Miguel Batista comes out of the bull pen to grab a rare start. Rare because he wasn't throwing well in the rotation and could find him self back in the pen if he struggles here so this might be an audition.a problem versus the Mets but the pitching was with Aaron Harang giving up three runs (one earned) in five frames while the pen made things interesting with another three runs allowed. The Los Angeles Dodgers took off at the beginning of the season because Matt Kemp went on a tear. It looks like the MVP candidate may be getting hot again. Kemp has hit .370 in his last 6 games and has homered in back-to-back games to help the Dodgers to their first winning streak of the second half at two games. Kemp is a .344 career hitter against the Mets with seven home runs and 26 RBIs in 43 games.   Left hander Chris Capuano gets the starting nod Saturday, looking for his first win in five starts. Capuano has not won since June 23 and is coming off back-to-back losses. The veteran left-hander, who went 11-12 with a 4.55 ERA in 31 starts for the Mets last season, is 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA in his last four road starts. Capunao has never beaten New York in his career, going 0-5 with a 5.86 ERA in six career starts. I think the party is over for the Mets as they are in a slow free fall. New York is currently sitting in third in the National League East but the distance between them and Washington is getting bigger each passing week. A 7-6 loss to the Dodgers gave the NYM losses in eight of eleven overall with neither the arms or bats getting the job done. On Friday it was Johan Santana who was blasted in his third straight start and appears to be done after allowing six runs on seven hits and a trio of bases on balls over just three frames. Batista is filling in for Dillon Gee (shoulder) and will be making his fifth start among 30 appearances for the Mets this season. The veteran right-hander has allowed at least one run in five of his last nine appearances and has not gone more than two innings since May 14. David Wright is 5-for-16 with a pair of home runs off Capuano.

Free Pick: A few days ago I had a thread over at Pregame.com about some OVER stats that the Mets have when they take on a left handed pitcher so it's only logical I go with the OVER in this one. When the Mets have faced a lefty this year there has been an average of 11 rpg being scored and the Over has gone 27-5-3 in those games. At home the Over is 10-1-1 in their last 11 games when they have faced a lefty with an average of 11.2 rpg being scored. The last 5 home games this situation has come up there have been at least 10 runs scored in each game. Aside from those stats we do have pitchers on the mound that should give up some runs. Chris Capuano has been awesome at home this year, but on the road he has been hit some with a 4.13 ERA. In his last 4 road starts he has allowed 4 ER's or more in three of those games. He also has a 5.90 ERA in 6 starts vs the Mets. Miguel Batista has a good home start and a bad home start in his 2 starts here and overall he has a 5.66 ERA, allowing 25 hits and 11 walks in 20.2 innings of work at Citi Field this year. 13 runs were scored last night and I expect at least 10 or 11 in this one. 

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