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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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MLB Free Pick Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks

Tuesday night baseball and we will see the Chicago Cubs take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Arizona. First pitch is scheduled for a 9:40 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally. Current Betting Odds, according to Sportsbook.ag, have Arizona listed as the favorite.

Current Odds

Chicago    +160
Arizona      -180

Over/ Under: 7.5 O -115

Analysis: The future continues to look bright for the Chicago Cubs, who brought in another collection of prospects in dealing away Matt Garza.Chicago has been showing off some of its future lately with Junior Lake, who went 4-for-5 with his first major-league home run in Monday’s 4-2 win and is 9-for-17 in his first four games. Lake's nine hits are the most by a Chicago player in his first four games since Andy Pafko in 1943. Travis Wood has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last nine starts but struggled in his final outing before the All-Star break, allowing three runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings against St. Louis. The left-hander had not surrendered more than seven hits in any of his first 18 starts. Wood has not had much success against Arizona, going 1-3 with a 6.33 ERA in four starts.

The Diamondbacks lost the series opener Monday and have dropped four of their last five games to fall into second place in the National League West, a half-game behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. Arizona is batting .194 in its last 11 games and is 6 for 42 (.143) with runners in scoring position in its last seven. The Diamondbacks have produced just nine runs in their last five contests. Patrick Corbin was dominant in his last two starts before the break, totaling 20 strikeouts while allowing two runs over 14 2/3 combined innings. The 24-year-old has issued only 33 walks in 130 1/3 innings and has worked into the seventh inning in five of his last six turns. Corbin was knocked around for four runs on six hits in six innings at Chicago on June 2 but still managed to pull out a win.

Pick: Going back to the well tonight and use another under play in an Arizona home game, where the Under is 31-15-2 on the year. Arizona home games this year have averaged just 7.79 rpg, while Chicago road games have put up just 7.35 rpg. The Cubs struggle to score on the road, putting up just 3.57 rpg overall and 3.29 rp/9 off of lefties. Tonight they face a tough lefty in Patrick Corbin, who has a skinny 1.54 ERA in 10 home starts this year. Those home starts have averaged just 5.1 rpg this year, while his night starts have averaged 6.58 rpg, compared to 8.14 rpg in his day starts. Travis Wood has had a nice year for the Cubs, with a 2.79 ERA overall. On the road he has a solid 2.91 ERA and just 6.14 rpg have been scored in his road starts. Travis takes on an Arizona offense that is struggling mightily at the plate, averaging just 2.7 rpg and hitting .195 in their last 10 games and while they have hit .220 in their last 5 games, they have put up a mere 1.8 rpg over that stretch. I really feel that the pitching will rule the roost tonight in Arizona. 



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