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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Major League Baseball Odds Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Sunday baseball and we will see the Atlanta Braves take on the Washington Nationals in game 4 of their 4 game series from Nationals Park in Washington DC. First pitch is scheduled for a 1:35 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised on MLB Network.

Current Odds

Atlanta                 +116
Washington           -126

Over/ Under: 7 O -130

Analysis: The Atlanta Braves had come into this series reeling and after taking the first 2 in the series they had take back the lead in the NL East, but Washington grabbed the division lead back last night with a 3-0 win over the Braves.  The Braves are still 24-8 the last 32 in the series, including going 8-2 vs the Nats this year. The Braves have really struggled at the plate this year, as they come in ranked 29th in scoring (3.61 rpg), 22nd in hitting (.244) and 11th in homers (71). The pitching has been the thing that has kept this team afloat this year, as they come in ranked 5th in ERA (3.35), 14th in WHIP (1.27) and 1st in quality starts (52). Getting the ball for Atlanta will be Ervin Santana, who is 5-4 with a 4.12 ERA on the year overall, while going 2-2 with a 3.95 ERA on the road. Ervin is 0-0 with a 3.67 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Nationals. 

The Washington Nationals come in having won just 3 of their last 6 games, but with last night's 3-0 win over the Braves they did take back the division lead in the NL East by a half a game. The Nationals are a very average offensive team, as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring (4.05 rpg), 19th in hitting (.246) and 19th in homers (63). The pitching, though, has been very good, as they come in ranked 2nd in ERA (3.07) and 5th in WHIP (1.21). Getting the ball for the Nationals will be Tanner Roark, who is 6-4 with a 2.85 ERA on the year overall, while at home he is 3-3 with a 1.58 ERA. Tanner is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA in 2 career appearances (1 start) vs the Braves. 

Pick:  Going with the Nationals in this one. Washington has not fared well vs the Braves of late, but they did take last night's game and I feel they have a solid edge on the mound in this one. On a team with Strasburg, Zimmerman and Gonzalez, the most consistent pitcher on this team has been Tanner Roark, who comes in with a 6-4 mark and a 2.85 ERA on the year. He seems to be getting better as he is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts, with the Nats outscoring their foes by 3.7 rpg in those last 3 starts. Ervin Santana is heading the other way, as he is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA in his last 3 starts and the Braves have been outscored by 3.66 rpg in those starts. Santana also has a 7.79 ERA in 3 day starts, while Tanner has a 1.80 ERA in his 5 day starts. Tanner's worst outing of the year was vs the Braves, so I expect him to be even more focused vs them in this one and last year he did face them once here and allowed 0 ERs and 2 hits in 7 innings of work, in a 4-0 Nats win. This looks like the perfect spot for the Nats to pick up another rare win vs the Braves. 

 
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