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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Minnesota Viking vs St Louis Rams Free Pick, Odds

NFL Week 1 and we will see the Minnesota Vikings travel to the Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, Missouri to take on the St Louis Rams. The game has a start time of 1:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on FOX. Current Vegas odds have the Rams listed as 3 point favorites, while the total is set at 43.  

Analysis: The Minnesota Vikings went just 5-10 last year, but thanks to a solid draft  and a good showing in the preseason, they just may well be a surprise team in the NFC this year. Matt Cassel will start the year as the starting QB, but do not be surprised it Teddy Bridgewater takes over at some point and he really progressed during the preseason. No matter who is at QB, they still have the luxury of handing the ball off to Adrian Petersen, who is one of the best backs in the league. He will have his work cut out for him in this one as he will be running against the best DL in the league. The defense for the Vikings is decent up front, but weak in the back.  

The St Louis Rams had a 7-9 record last year and where looking for better things this year, but a season ending injury to QB Sam Bradford may have ended their hopes of getting to the post season. Shaun Hill will take over for Sam and some actually feel that their is not much of a dropoff, as Hill has better career numbers overall than Bradford. Still the Rams may turn more to a run game that is led by Zac Stacy, who ran for 973 yards in 12 starts last year. Overall the offense is not expected to be explosive. That ok cause they do have a very good defense to lean on, that may very well have the best line in the league thanks to a solid draft.    

Pick:  I love the Under in this game. Both teams will be more of run based teams this year and that will chew clock. The Vikings have Adrian Petersen, but he is running behind a very average OL that will be taking on what may be the best DL in the league. The Rams are very stout up front and also will be able to put plenty of pressure on Cassel, who is not a great QB as it is. The Rams have Shaun Hill at QB for this one, but I really expect him to be eased in the role, with plenty of running from Zac Stacy. This game features two teams that will look to run the ball vs one of the best front sevens in the league on one team and a decent front 7s on the other side. We also get a conservative coach on one side (Jeff Fisher) and a defensive minded coach (Mike Zimmer) on the other side. THis one should be a game that is played under 38 points.    

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