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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Wednesday Baseball Betting Odds New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Major league baseball on Wednesday night and we will see the New York Mets take on the San Francisco Giants in game 3 of their 3 game series from AT&T Park in San Francisco. Free Pick to follow. First pitch is scheduled for a 3:45 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.

Betting Odds

New York                -106
San Francisco        -104

Over/ Under: 6.5 O -120

The Mets took game 1 of this series, but last night it was the Giants that bounced back with a 3-0 win behind a very strong outing from Matt Cain.  The Mets are 3.5 game behind the Nationals in the NL East and they have gone 14-28 n the road this year, while the Giants are 4 games behind the Dodgers in the NL Wst and they have gone 22-21 at home for the year. The Mets rank 27th in scoring (3.49 rpg), while on the mound they are 5th in ERA (3.34). San Francisco ranks 13th in scoring (4.17 rpg),  while on the mound they are 16th in ERA (3.92).  

Trends for this game include: The Mets are 41-17 in their last 58 games as a favorite and 12-4 in deGrom's last 16 starts as a favorite, but just 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a home underdog, but just 2-9 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series and 5-12 in their last 17 home games. 

Getting the ball for the Mets tonight will be Jacob deGrom, who is 8-6 with a 2.30 ERA overall, while on the road he is 3-4 with a 3.11 ERA. Jacob is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 1 career start vs the Giants.

Taking the hill for the Giants tonight will be Jake Peavy, who is 0-3 with a 6.43 ERA in 3 starts this year. Jake has good numbers in his career in this park, going 11-8 with a 3.40 ERA in 21 starts here, while he is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA in 12 career starts vs the Mets. 

Pick: Going with the Mets in this one. the Giants have not been good home team this year and I clearly like the matchup of deGrom over Peavy, who has really struggled this year. Neither offense has been that good, but I still expect the Mets to have a better time of it vs Peavy, than the Giants will have vs DeGrom. The Mets should bounce back after getting shutout last ight. 



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Free MLB Pick: New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
Vegas gambling expert Scott Spreitzer likes to bet against the pitchers selected for the MLB All-Star game because he thinks the exhibition game takes up too much of their energy and attention, especially young aces like Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets. With that in mind, Scott likes the Giants on Wednesday 7/8 at home in AT&T Park with a solid Jake Peavy on the mound.