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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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Major League Baseball Odds Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Free Pick

Friday night baseball and we will see the Toronto Blue Jays take on the New York Yankees in game 1 of their 3 game series from the Bronx. First pitch is scheduled for a 7:05 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised on MLB Network. 

Current Odds

Toronto              +120
New York           -130

Over/ Under: 8 O -120

Analysis: The Toronto Blue Jays come in having won 5 of their last 6 games and currently tied with the New Yankees in 2nd place in the AL East. The Jays are just 24-26 on the road this year and are just 13-41 in their last 51 games in New York. The Jays have been solid on offense this year, ranking 5th in the league in scoring (4.53 rpg), 6th in hitting (.261) and 1st in homers (123). The pitching has been poor for the Jays, as they rank 24th in the league in ERA (4.11) and 26th in WHIP (1.37). Getting the ball for the Jays tonight will be left-hander Mark Buehrle, who is 10-6 with a 2.86 ERA on the year, while on the road he is 5-3 with a 2.44 ERA. Mark has horrible numbers vs the Yanks, going just 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA in 19 career starts vs them, including 0-5 with a 5.18 ERA vs them in this park. 

The New York Yankees coming in having won 6 of their last 7 games and currently sit just 2.5 games back of the Orioles in the AL East. The Yanks are a mediocre 24-24 at home, but have won 6 of their last 7 here. The Yankees are a below average offensive team, as they rank 20th in scoring (3.95 rpg), 16th in hitting (.251) and 17th in homers (85). The pitching has been very average for this team, as they are 16th in ERA (3.79), 11th in WHIP (1.25) and 3rd in Ks (865). Getting the ball for the Yankees tonight will be Hiroki Kuroda, who is 6-6 with a 3.88 ERA overall, while at home he has gone 3-3 with a 3.88 ERA. Kuroda is 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 9 career starts vs the Jays.

Pick: The Blue Jays have lost 16 straight games in New York and I see number 17 here. Mark Buehrle had a great start to the year, but he is now 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA in his last 7 starts, and of course he is 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA in his career vs the Yanks. Hiroki Kuroda has pitched well of last with a 2.79 ERA and an 0.88 WHIP in his last 3 starts, plus the Yanks are 7-2 in his last 9 starts vs the Jays. The Jays are off a big series with the Red Sox and I can see them coming out a bit flat in this one. Just too much favors the Yanks here.   

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