Major League Baseball on Thursday night and I will have a Free Pick in the game between the San Francisco Giants and the Seattle, which will be played at Safeco Field in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for a 10:10 PM (Eastern) start time and the game will be televised locally.
Betting Odds
San Francisco +127
Seattle -137
Over/ Under: 7.5 U -120
This is game 4 of a 4 game series between these Interleague League foes. The teams split the two meetings in San Francisco and last night Seattle took game 3 with an excellent game from King Felix. Still the Mariners have gone just 6-7 in their last games and are currently in 4th place in the AL West. San Francisco has won just 1 of their last 7 games and have fallen to 3.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants rank 20th in scoring (3.96 rpg), while on the mound they are 10th in ERA (3.71). The Mariners rank 29th in scoring (3.41 rpg), while on the mound they are 14th in ERA (3.79).
Trend for this game include: The Giants are 9-2 in their last 11 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 7-0 in Vogelsong's last 7 starts during game 4 of a series, but just 9-27 in their last 36 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Mariners are just 6-14 in their last 20 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter and 2-9 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
Getting the ball for San Francisco tonight will be Ryan Vogelsong, who is 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA in 11 starts this year, while on the road he is 3-3 with a 6.31 ERA in 7 appearances (6 starts) this year. Ryan is 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Mariners.
Taking the hill for the Mariners tonight will be Mike Montgomery, who is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA in 3 starts this year, which just happen to be his only 3 starts of his career.
Pick: Going with the Under here. Neither offense is hitting the ball all that well of late and both starters should be able to take advantage of that. Vogelsong has struggled on the road this year, but this Seattle offense has averaged just 3.12 rpg at home. Mike Montgomery has been outstanding in his 3 starts this year and the Giants have averaged just 1.8 rpg in their last 5 games, plus this will be the first time they see Montgomery, which gives him the edge. Hard to see more than 5 or 6 runs here.
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