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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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    05/22/2022 10:42 AM

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Odds Free Pick

Tuesday night NBA and we will see the Golden State Warriors take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in game 3 of their best-of-seven series from Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Free Pick to follow. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ABC. Current Vegas betting odds have Cleveland listed as 1 point favorites, while the total is set at 194.5. 

Analysis: The Warriors took game 1 of this series and then had a golden opportunity to take game 2 vs a Cleveland team that was without Irving. Well that didn't happen as league MVP Steph Curry really struggled in the 95-93 OT loss on their home floor. It was just the 4th time all year they have lost at home. Golden State has gone 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. loss, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs the Central Division. The Warriors have scored 106.9 ppg on 46.0% shooting overall and 38.5% from long range on the road this year. Defensively they have been decent on the road as they have allowed 100.9 ppg on 43.0% shooting overall and 33.0% shooting from long range.

It's one thing to beat the warriors at home this year, but it's another thing to do it without Kyrie Irving. That's just what the Cavs did in game two of this series and they have now grabbed the homecourt edge. Still they will have to go the rest of the series without Irving and that may hurt them over the course of what could be a long series. The Cavs are 37-11 at home this year. Cleveland has gone 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Western Conference, but just 4-10 ATS the last 14 in the series. The Cavaliers have been a good offensive team at home this year, scoring 103.9 ppg on 46.6% shooting overall and 38.5% shooting from long range. Defensively the Cavaliers have been solid at home, where they have allowed just 96.2 ppg on 46.1% shooting overall and 34.5% shooting from long range.  

Pick: Im going to shock everyone here and go with the Over. Both games have played to OT so far ad this one may as well. The cavs have played excellent defense in the playoffs and so have the Warriors, but I do see this one as a more uptempo game. The warriors need that in order to get in to a good offensive flow and I see them pushing the tempo more here. The Warriors have not been great on defense on the road this year, so I do expect the Cavs to be able to score on them plenty here. I look for this one to possibly eclipse 200 points. 

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Home Court Advantage and the 2015 NBA Finals
Pro bettors Teddy Covers and Steve Fezzik clash over the value of home court in the 2015 NBA Finals. Fezzik thinks the Warriors are so far above the rest of the league at home with a +13 point differential over the competition as Oracle, that their home court advantage can't be overrated. Teddy, on the other hand, thinks Golden State are not beating the spread at home in the postseason. Fezzik says Golden State had bad spots early in the playoffs, but this series finale is a great spot for them to succeed.