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Stories

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College Football Week 10: Game Previews, Betting Insights, and Top Picks

In-Depth Analysis with Timestamps and Speaker Breakdown

Introduction and Format Explanation

[0:31 - 1:06, Griffin Warner]
Griffin opens with a warm welcome, introducing the "Need for Screens College Football Podcast" and outlining the format: a deep dive into five games with best betting recommendations. He and Big East Bend note a recent one-on-one record on best bets, showcasing their consistency and humor about the ups and downs of betting.

Illinois' Loss and Betting Reflection

[1:07 - 2:31, Big East Bend and Griffin Warner]
Big East Bend recaps his previous 4-2 record, expressing frustration over Illinois' poor performance against expectations. Griffin highlights the reality of betting with humor, noting they are "around 50%," and hopes to end on a strong note to make up for missed wins, aiming for a good "bowl season."

Ohio State vs. Penn State Analysis

[2:32 - 5:39, Griffin Warner and Big East Bend]
Griffin introduces Ohio State as a 3.5-point favorite over Penn State, with a total of 45 points. Big East Bend laments the lack of a night "white-out" game for Penn State, which he feels undermines the home-field advantage. He reviews the rivalry, noting Ohio State's dominance and Penn State's history of losses, aside from a 2016 "fluky win." He highlights concerns over Penn State quarterback Drew Aller's knee injury and doubts Penn State's ability to beat Ohio State, predicting a continuation of Ohio State's dominance.

Griffin leans toward an "under 45" bet, doubting Penn State's upset potential and considering Ohio State's edge during a daytime game, despite traveling difficulties and recent losses.

Oregon vs. Michigan Breakdown

[5:39 - 8:12, Griffin Warner and Big East Bend]
Oregon is favored by 14.5 points over Michigan, who faces turmoil with the retirement of their starting quarterback, Jake Tuttle. Big East Bend expresses disbelief at Michigan's only 14.5-point spread, attributing Michigan's decline to significant lineup changes and a struggling offense. He strongly advocates for betting on Oregon, seeing little hope for Michigan to cover the spread.

Griffin echoes Bend’s sentiments, opting for an "under 45.5" bet due to Michigan’s defensive strength but lackluster offense.

Texas A&M vs. South Carolina Insights

[8:12 - 10:56, Big East Bend and Griffin Warner]
Texas A&M, a 2.5-point favorite, faces South Carolina, whom Big East Bend supports, referencing Texas A&M's impressive second-half performance against LSU as a potential letdown factor. He argues that South Carolina, under Shane Beamer, needs a strong home win to regain confidence, suggesting they are likely to capitalize on A&M’s vulnerabilities.

Griffin supports South Carolina’s "plus 2.5" status, appreciating their home advantage and the impact of fan-favorite traditions like the "Sandstorm" chant.

Louisville vs. Clemson Comparison

[10:56 - 14:28, Big East Bend and Griffin Warner]
Louisville enters as a 10.5-point underdog against Clemson, with a high total of 63. Big East Bend notes Clemson’s recent wins, albeit against weaker teams, while Louisville’s record indicates resilience against both strong and weak opponents. He bets on Louisville to cover, citing Clemson's post-bye week tendency to underestimate opponents and Louisville's reliable offensive consistency.

Griffin aligns with the "over 63" line, hinting at Louisville's ability to pressure Clemson and make for a high-scoring game.

Pittsburgh vs. SMU and Betting History

[14:29 - 18:32, Big East Bend and Griffin Warner]
SMU is favored by 7.5 points, but Big East Bend favors Pittsburgh due to their stronger competition history and tough defense, despite SMU's high point-scoring average. He recommends Pittsburgh with the points as the more resilient team.

Griffin wagers on an "over 58," observing SMU's trend of high-scoring games, despite Pitt’s spread-covering abilities, and anticipates an engaging, offense-focused matchup.

Best Bets and Closing Thoughts

[18:33 - 22:52, Big East Bend and Griffin Warner]
Big East Bend’s best bet is Nebraska minus 6.5 against UCLA, whom he describes as severely underperforming this season, contrasting Nebraska’s resilience against high-ranked teams. Griffin Warner’s top pick is South Carolina as an underdog against Texas A&M, reiterating home advantage as a crucial factor. The hosts promote a discount code for listeners and discuss improved sound quality, injecting humor as Big East Bend addresses past audio issues and elaborates on his floral decor, reflecting their lighthearted tone.


Key Points Summary

  • Ohio State’s Dominance: Ohio State has maintained a long winning streak against Penn State, with QB Drew Aller's injury adding further doubts for Penn State.

  • Michigan’s Struggles: With Michigan’s starting QB retiring, hosts consider Oregon as a strong favorite, noting Michigan's defensive reliance.

  • South Carolina’s Home Advantage: South Carolina is favored by the hosts due to Texas A&M’s inconsistency and the emotional boost of a home game.

  • Louisville’s Competitiveness: Clemson may face a challenge from Louisville, which often performs well against top teams, prompting Big East Bend’s confidence in Louisville covering the spread.

  • Pittsburgh’s Resilience: Pittsburgh’s strength against competitive teams is seen as an advantage over SMU, though SMU’s offense keeps the over line attractive.

  • Nebraska’s Best Bet: Big East Bend’s best bet is Nebraska -6.5 against UCLA, with Griffin leaning towards South Carolina’s underdog potential at home.


Quotes and Analysis

  • Big East Bend on Penn State’s History: “Ohio State has absolutely ate Penn State's lunch. They've won seven in a row…” (3:13). This quote reflects Ohio State's dominance and Big East Bend’s view of a challenging game for Penn State given their QB situation.

  • Griffin Warner on Texas A&M: "I feel like we're about to hit the college hardwood..." (9:30). Warner humorously previews college basketball but also shows excitement for South Carolina’s home atmosphere, affecting his bet.

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