Sun Belt Football on Saturday as the UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns travel to Mobile, Alabama to take on the South Alabama Jaguars. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and be will televised on ESPN 3. Current odds have South Alabama listed as 3 point favorites, while the total sits at 58.
Analysis: The Ragin Cajuns had their 8 game win streak snapped last week at home to UL Monroe, but still with Arkansas State's loss to Western Kentucky, they are still guaranteed at least a share of the Sun Belt title. The Cajuns are 8-3 overall and 5-1 in conference, and for the third straight season they have accepted a bid to the New Orleans Bowl where it will take on Tulane. Louisiana has the Sun Belt's most explosive scoring offense this season, as it puts up 37.0 points per game, but they will likely be without starting QB Broadway for this one. Brooks Haack was impressive in relief against ULM (10-of-14, 126 yards, TD) and will get the call if Broadway can't suit up. The real strength of this Cajuns offense is the RB duo of Alonzo Harris and Elijah McGuire, who have combined for 1613 yards and 20 Tds this year. Louisiana has also performed well on defense, allowing 26.6 points and 396.8 yards per game while creating 20 takeaways.
South Alabama's season had taken a turn for the worse at mid season with losses in five of six, but it has redeemed itself of late with back-to-back wins to climb to 5-6, just a win away from bowl eligibility. South Alabama's offensive attack has be average at best, putting up 29.4 ppg and 431.2 ypg on the year, but they have looked better of late, scoring 37 ppg in their last 2 games. Dual threat QB Ross Metheny leads this offense, hitting 62.5% of his passes for 2,451 yards with 15 TDs, and 7 INTs, while as a rusher he has run for 560 yards and 10 Tds). Outside of Metheny, the Jaguars don't have a very explosive ground attack, although Jay Jones has been steady with 632 yards and five scores. Defensively, USA has generally been strong enough to support its offense, as it yields a respectable 26.7 points per game and holds opponents to just 38 percent success on third down.
Pick: I will look at the Under here. Louisiana could be without QB Broadway and that will hurt this offense and USA has played good defense of late, allowing 17 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. The USA offense puts up just 19.6 ppg at home and their home games have averaged just 48 ppg this year. I look for around that in this one.
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