College Football Prediction for San
Diego State at Michigan (-10-) 12:00 PM EST B10: The Rich Rod years were a disaster for
the Wolverines. They went 15-22 SU
and 10-26 ATS. The defense crumbled
to an allowance of over 30 PPG in his regime including 35 PPG LY. So why would we be interested in laying
doubles to an explosive Aztec offense that qualifies under our early season 200
Club criterion. They have a
veteran, productive offense behind triplets QB Lindley, RB Hillman and WR
Locket operating behind a veteran OL.
They are averaging 38 PPG, 428 YPG, and 6.4 YPPL with a balanced attack
running for 221 and passing for 208.
But that is why you subscribe to this missive each week! The situation couldn’t be worse for the
Aztecs. They just traveled cross country two weeks ago and barely escaped Army
who outrushed them 402-146, their worst offensive game this season. They barely
escaped 23-20 to enter this game at 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS. They returned to the West Coast last week for a home game
with Wash State. We confidently lined up with the Pullman Puma. They were in control of the game 24-14
in the 3rd quarter before the game swung around completely. By the time Wash State had finished
with the last of their 4 turnovers, the Aztecs had surged to a 42-24
victory. Following that gift, they
must now travel through 3 time zones again for yet another 9:00 AM body time
start. This will be a lot harder.
Current Michigan HC Hoke and OC Bourges, were in those respective positions the
last 2 seasons at San Diego State.
If anybody knows the State tendencies it will certainly be these
two. Expect them to use that
knowledge to full advantage along with that which they learned from Hoke’s
former DC Long who is the current head coach of the Aztecs. Defensive improvement of the Wolves on
display in this one while the talents of QB Robinson lead the Wolves to 30 plus
for the 4th consecutive game.
Football Picks for Georgia
(-9-) at Mississippi 12:20 PM EST: Both HC Richt and HC Nutt are coaching
with their jobs on the line. The
‘Dawgs have covered just 1/8 away of late following a brilliant run by Richt in
that role. But the Rebs are on a
5-12 ATS slide including 3-6 ATS on this field. In the game, I see huge advantages for Georgia across the
board. Following a 4-8 SU, ATS
season, Ole Miss was hopeful of a rebound despite returning just 4 starters to
a defense that allowed 35 PPG. But
last weeks showing at Vandy, a 30-7 loss in which they were outrushed 281-85,
leads one to believe otherwise.
The offensive side of the ball is worse. They have averaged just 10 PPG vs. Vandy and BYU. New OC Lee openly admits he has
provided too much information in changing the scheme. This confusion has translated to struggling QB Stoudt and QB
Mackay playing poorly. They have
run for just 109/3.2. As such,
there is a huge edge at the signal caller position to QB Murray who is
performing above expectations in pulling the Bulldogs from their lethargic
state. He is aided by freshman RB
Crowell who is helping to balance the offensive attack. In short, the opinion here is that, at
least for now, Georgia has hit the nadir of their discontent while the Rebels
may still be plummeting for unknown depths. Certainly, Richt will not be showing mercy.
College Football Picks for UAB
at East Carolina (-13) 3:30 PM EST: Despite a 0-2 start by ECU, this line
has been adjusted by 10 points since opening week. We will call this our SOS (strength of schedule) game of the
week. In their 49-10 mauling by mediocre Tulane last week, UAB was outgained
540-193, outchained 28-10, and outclocked 42-18. To make matters worse, QB Ellis suffered an injured leg in
that contest and is questionable for this game. Now, they must travel to Greenville to face a Pirate team
that has played competitively against Top 20 teams SC and Va Tech in the first
two weeks. They, in fact, were
leading each of those games early 2nd half. They will certainly enjoy the inferior
competition offered by the Blazers, a team they have beaten 4 consecutive times
and covered 5/6. The ECU defense
was deplorable last year allowing 44 points and 479 yards. But their new defense has stepped up in
each of the first 2 games allowing just 222 combined passing yards to the
Gamecocks and Hokies. They are
surprisingly 12-7 ATS HF. Huge
edge at the signal callers spot with QB Davis leading the way for an offense
that put up 54 points last year against UAB. Long time DC Tommie West has resurfaced at UAB. His defenses have been among our
favorite play-against units for years.
Free Picks: Missouri at Oklahoma Betting
What college football bettors need to know about Missouri at Oklahoma (Saturday, September 24, 2011) from Pregame.com - Including predictions from Marco D'Angelo and analysis from host RJ Bell.