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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Football Betting Odds Oregon Ducks vs Oregon State Beavers Free Pick

Saturday college football and we will see the Oregon Ducks take on the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ABC. Current Vegas odds have Oregon listed as 19.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 65.5.  

Analysis:  The Oregon Ducks come in sitting at number 3 in the college football playoff rankings. They are 10-1 on the year and have cliched the Pac-12 North with a 7-2 record. The Ducks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games and 27-10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, while the road team is 7-0-1 the last 8 in the series. The Ducks are again a very strong offensive team, ranking 5th in total yards, 14th in passing, 23rd in rushing and 3rd in scoring (45.8 ppg). The defense has been rather average for this team, ranking 93rd yards allowed, 117th vs the pass, 61st vs the run and 42nd in points allowed (23.6 ppg). 

The Oregon State Beavers come in not having a great year as hey have won just 1 of their last 5 games to fall to 5-6 on the year, which includes a 2-6 mark in the Pac-12 and a 3-3 mark at home. The Beavers are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points, while the Over is 11-1 the last 12 meetings between these teams. The Beavers have not been a great offensive team this year, ranking 70th in total yards, 23rd in passing, 114th in rushing and 85th in scoring (26.3 ppg). The defense has not been great either, ranking 65th in total yards allowed, 87th vs the pass, 51st vs the run and 91st in points allowed (30.2 ppg). 

Pick: Gonna make this short. I will go with the Ducks here. Much like TCU on Thursday, I can see Oregon looking to blow out this team so they leave no doubt in the minds of the committee. OSU has played well at home, but I just can't see them keeping this one close vs a more motivated Oregon team. 

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