College football week 12 and the Nebraska Cornhuskers will travel to Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers. The game has a start time of 3:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ABC. Current Vegas odds have the Badgers listed as 5.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 56.5.
Analysis: The Nebraska Cornhuskers come in with an 8-1 record on the year, which includes a 2-1 record on the road. The Huskers are 4-1 in the Big 10 and in a 3-way tie with Minnesota and Wisconsin in the West Division of the Big 10. The Cornhuskers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win., but are also 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Nebraska is a very good offensive squad, ranking 18th in total yards, 85th in passing, 10th in rushing and 10th in scoring (40.4 ppg). The defense for the huskers has been very solid, ranking 25th in yards allowed, 48th vs the pass, 20th vs the run and 17th in points allowed (19.7 ppg).
The Wisconsin Badgers have been on a roll of late, winning their last 4 games in a row by an average of 27.5 ppg. The recent run has them at 7-2 on the year and they have gone a perfect 5-0 at home. The Badgers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games, but also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Wisconsin also has a strong offense, ranking 25th in total yards, 117th in passing, 5th in rushing and 19th in scoring (36.8 ppg). The defense rates as one of the best in the nation, ranking 1st in yards allowed, 3rd vs the pass, 5th vs the run and 3rd in points allowed (14.3 ppg).
Pick: I like the Badgers in this one. They have really been rolling of late, have the best defense in the nation and the best RB in the Big 12. I know that Ameer Abdullah is very good for the Huskers, but he is also not 100% and hasn’t faced a defense this tough just yet. The Badgers are ALSO 5-0 at home and have outscored foes by 34.4 ppg on this field this year. The Husker defense has been solid but they did allow 31 to Miami and 27 to Michigan State, which are the best offenses they have faced this year. I see their defense struggling and wearing down in the 4th quarter and their offense will not just do enough to keep it close.
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