Its the New Era Pinstripe Bowl and the Boston College Eagles will take on the Penn State Nittany Lions at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. The game has a start time of 4:30 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have the Eagles listed as 2.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 40.
Analysis: The Boston College Eagles have had an up and down year as hey never won more than 2 games or lost more than 2 games in a row. They did win just 1 of their last 3 games to finish at 7-5 on the year. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games. The Under is 4-1 in the Eagles' last 5 Bowl games and 22-7 in their last 29 non-conference games. Boston College has not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 81st in total offense, 123rd in passing, 14th in rushing and 85th in scoring (25.9 ppg). Defensively this has been a very good team, ranking 12th in yards allowed, 49th vs the pass, 3rd vs the run and 19th in points allowed (20.5 ppg).
Penn State got an early Christmas gift this year when it was announced that they would be eligible to play in a bowl game this year. The Lions have won just 2 of their last 8 games this year, but it was still good enough to get them into a bowl. The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games on grass, but just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Under is 4-1 in the Nittany Lions' last 5 vs. ACC, while the Over is 13-5 in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. The Nittany Lions have been a poor offensive team this year, ranking 117th in total yards, 73rd in passing, 120th in rushing and 115th in scoring (19.8 ppg). The defense for Penn State has been outstanding this year, as they come in ranked 2nd in yards allowed, 11 vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 7th in points allowed (17.7).
Pick: Going with the Under in this game. Both teams run a rather slow paced offense and both teams have played excellent defense this year. That Should lead to a low scoring game for sure. The Lions are used to low scoring games this year as their games overall have averaged just 37.5 ppg, while their games away from home have averaged just 30.8 ppg. The Eagles have not been in as many low scoring games, but with their defense that has allowed just 20.5 ppg on the year I expect them to be in a low scoring game here. They will not score a bunch on this Penn State offense, while the Lions win not score much off of BC. I look for a game in the lower 30s here.
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