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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Basketball Odds Wyoming Cowboys vs Boise State Broncos Free Pick

Tonight the Wyoming Cowboys will take on the Boise State Broncos in the Semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas Nevada. The game has a start time of 9:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBSSN. Current Vegas betting odds have the Broncos listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 117.5. 

Analysis:  The Wyoming Cowboys limped a bit down the stretch of the regular season as they had won just 3 of their final 8 games, but they put that behind them by beating Utah State in the quarterfinals yesterday by a score of 67-65. The Cowboys are have a solid year overall as they 23-8 on the year. The Cowboys have gone 7-3 ATS the last 10 in the series, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. The Cowboys have not been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 307th in scoring (61.9 ppg), 52nd in shooting (46.5%), 279th in 3 point shooting (31.9%) and 128th in FT shooting (70.3%). Defensively the Cowboys have been excellent this year, ranking 9th in points allowed (56.1 ppg), 68th in defensive FG% (40.4%) and 198th in 3 point defense (34.5%). 

Broncos come in off a solid 80-68 win over Air Force Yesterday. The Broncos have now won 15 of their last 16 games and are 25-7 overall, while going 15-4 vs MWC competition this year. Boise has gone 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win. The Broncos have been a solid offensive team this year, ranking 87th in scoring (70.9 ppg), 66th in shooting (46.0%), 16th in 3 point shooting (39.5%) and 47th in FT shooting (73.0%). Defensively the Broncos have been very good as well, ranking 26th in points allowed (59.9 ppg),95th in defensive FG% (41.3%) and 29th in 3 point defense (30.6%).  

Pick: I will go with the Over here. Wyoming does play low scoring games, but the Over is 21-8-1 in their last 30 games and the earlier meeting between these teams put up 119 points. Wyoming is not a good offensive team, but it is a bit better with Larry Nance Jr back on the court and they should get their fair share of points in what could be a faster paced game. The Broncos have been a good offensive team this year and Wyoming has struggled some on defense on the road of late, allowing 62.6 ppg in their last 6 away from home. Boise scored 80 vs Air Force yesterday and they have scored 71.5 ppg in their last 6 games overall, so we know their offense will get some points. I can really see this one played in the mid-120s  

 

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