Sunday college basketball and we will see the SMU Mustangs travel to the Storrs, Connecticut to take on the Connecticut Huskies. The game has a start time of 2:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on CBS. Current Vegas betting odds have the Mustangs listed as 1.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 123.5.
Analysis: The SMU Mustangs have won 5 in a row and 21 of their last 23 games, which makes them one of the hottest teams in the nation. In their last game they beat Memphis by 9 on the road, which now has them at 14-2 in the ACC and with a half a game lead over Tulsa for the top spot in the conference. SMU has gone 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. the ACC and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Mustangs have been a decent offensive team this year, ranking 123rd in scoring (69.5 ppg), 10th in shooting (48.7%), 69th in 3 point shooting (37.1%) and 141st in FT shooting (69.9%). The defense for this team has been very good this year, ranking 20th in points allowed (59.0 ppg), 10th in defensive FG% (37.9%) and 58th in 3 point defense (31.5%).
The UConn Huskies come in having won 5 of their last 7 games, including an 11 point road win over East Carolina on Wednesday night. The win now has the Huskies at 16-11 overall and 9-6 with in the AAC. The Huskies have gone 22-10 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, but just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the AAC. The Huskies have not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 232nd in scoring (65.1 ppg), 113th in shooting (44.6%), 153rd in 3 point shooting (34.8%) and 187th in FT shooting (68.9%). Defensively the Huskies have been very good this year, ranking 38th in points allowed (60.4 ppg), 40th in defensive FG% (39.5%) and 183rd in 3 point defense (34.1%).
Pick: Going Under here. Both of these teams are excellent defensive teams, while both are very average on offense and both do play at a slow pace. The Mustangs have allowed just 59.7 ppg overall, including just 59.6 ppg on the road and 59.2 ppg in their last 5 games overall. For the Huskies, they have allowed just 60.4 ppg both overall and in their last 5 games, while at home they have given up just 55.8 ppg so far. The Mustangs have averaged just 64 ppg on the road and UConn has put up just 66.8 ppg at home. This is a huge game for both teams and that usually brings tightness and more conservative play. This one may barely squeak above 115 points.
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