Tonight the Nevada Wolf Pack will travel to the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas to take on the UNLV Runnin Rebels in the 1st round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. The game has a start time of 5:30 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on the Mountain West Network. Current Vegas betting odds have the Rebels listed as 8.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 130.
Analysis: The Nevada Wolf Pack had a very rough year as they come in at 9-21 overall, while winning just 3 of their last 16 games. They went 5-13 in the MWC, but did start 2-0 in conference play, which included a win on this floor over the Rebels. Nevada has gone 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in UNLV, but just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss. Nevada has not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 318th in scoring (60.9 ppg), 342nd in shooting (38.4%), 350th in 3 point shooting (26.5%) and 150th in FT shooting (69.7%). Defensively the Wolf Pack has been an average team, ranking 164th in points allowed (66.5 ppg), 92nd in defensive FG% (41.3%) and 166th in 3 point defense (34.0%).
The UNLV Rebels have been an inconsistent team all year and really didn't finish the regular season all that strong with losses in 5 of their last 9 games overall. The Rebels went just 17-14 overall, while at home they have played well, going 12-4 at the Thomas & Mack. The Rebels have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, but the host is just 1-6 ATS the last 7 in the series. The Rebels have been an average offensive team this year, as they come in ranked 158th in scoring (68.4 ppg), 119th in shooting (44.5%), 68th in 3 point shooting (37.1%) and 265th in FT shooting (66.7%). Defensively the Rebels have been decent as they come in ranked 135th in points allowed (64.9 ppg), 37th in defensive FG% (39.7%) and 173rd in 3 point defense (34.1%).
Pick: Going Under here. This is a home game for the Rebels and they have played solid defense at home, where they have allowed just 60.4 ppg. Now they face a Nevada squad that has averaged just 56.7 ppg on the road and just 56.5 ppg in their last 5 games overall. The Rebels are not a good offensive team and the Wolf Pack have not been bad on the defensive end of the floor. 65-57 sounds about right for this one.
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