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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Basketball Betting Odds, LSU Tigers vs Missouri Tigers Free Pick

Thursday night college basketball and we will see the LSU Tigers travel to Columbia, Missouri to take on the Missouri Tigers. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas betting odds have LSU listed as 3 point favorites, while the total is set at 136.5.  

Analysis:  The LSU Tigers come in a very hot team, as they have won their last 8 games in a row, which includes a 1 point road win over West Virginia. The Tigers are now 11-2 on the year, including 2-0 in true road games. LSU is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games. LSU has been a good offensive team this year, ranking 40th in scoring (75.6 ppg), 51st in shooting (47.0%), 204th in 3 point shooting (33.2%) and 47th in FT shooting (73.3%). The defense for this team has been rather average, ranking 172nd in points allowed (65.6 ppg), 86th in defensive FG% (39.9%) and 158th in 3 point defense (32.8%).  

The Missouri Tigers have not had a good start to their year as they come in with a 6-7 mark overall, but they have played well at home where they are 5-2 so far. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, but just  8-23-2 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southeastern. Missouri has not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 240th in scoring (65.4 ppg), 207th in shooting (43.0%), 119th in 3 point shooting (35.7%) and 229th in FT shooting (66.7%). Defensively the Tigers have not been all that good, ranking 205th in points allowed (67.2 ppg), 158th in defensive FG% (41.9%) and 159th in 3 point defense (32.8%). 

Pick:  Let's go with the Under in this game. I know that LSU likes to get up and down the floor, but that is not Missouri's game and I usually give the home team the advantage of controlling pace. Missouri should do that here. The Missouri Tigers are not a good offensive team as it is as they come in averaging just 65.4 ppg on the year, While at home it hasn't been a whole lot better at 66.9 ppg. LSU has been a good offensive team this year, but they are taking on a Missouri squad that has played very good defense at home, where they have allowed just 63.1 ppg on the year. Missouri has allowed 68.6 ppg in their last 5 games, while LSU ghas allowed just 62 ppg in their last 5. I see a game somewhere in the neighborhood of 67-63.     

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