Thursday night college basketball and we will see the LSU Tigers travel to Columbia, Missouri to take on the Missouri Tigers. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN 2. Current Vegas betting odds have LSU listed as 3 point favorites, while the total is set at 136.5.
Analysis: The LSU Tigers come in a very hot team, as they have won their last 8 games in a row, which includes a 1 point road win over West Virginia. The Tigers are now 11-2 on the year, including 2-0 in true road games. LSU is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games. LSU has been a good offensive team this year, ranking 40th in scoring (75.6 ppg), 51st in shooting (47.0%), 204th in 3 point shooting (33.2%) and 47th in FT shooting (73.3%). The defense for this team has been rather average, ranking 172nd in points allowed (65.6 ppg), 86th in defensive FG% (39.9%) and 158th in 3 point defense (32.8%).
The Missouri Tigers have not had a good start to their year as they come in with a 6-7 mark overall, but they have played well at home where they are 5-2 so far. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, but just 8-23-2 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southeastern. Missouri has not been a good offensive team this year, ranking 240th in scoring (65.4 ppg), 207th in shooting (43.0%), 119th in 3 point shooting (35.7%) and 229th in FT shooting (66.7%). Defensively the Tigers have not been all that good, ranking 205th in points allowed (67.2 ppg), 158th in defensive FG% (41.9%) and 159th in 3 point defense (32.8%).
Pick: Let's go with the Under in this game. I know that LSU likes to get up and down the floor, but that is not Missouri's game and I usually give the home team the advantage of controlling pace. Missouri should do that here. The Missouri Tigers are not a good offensive team as it is as they come in averaging just 65.4 ppg on the year, While at home it hasn't been a whole lot better at 66.9 ppg. LSU has been a good offensive team this year, but they are taking on a Missouri squad that has played very good defense at home, where they have allowed just 63.1 ppg on the year. Missouri has allowed 68.6 ppg in their last 5 games, while LSU ghas allowed just 62 ppg in their last 5. I see a game somewhere in the neighborhood of 67-63.
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