CFB Week 11 continues on Saturday afternoon and we will see the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns travel to the Swamp to take on the Florida Gators. The game is scheduled for a 12:21 PM (Eastern) start time and it will be televised live on the SEC Network. Currently the odds for the game have Florida favored by 27 points, while the total sits at 50.5. Check out Sportsbook Spy to find out what side the Public is taking on all today's games.
Free Analysis: Louisiana snapped a two-game losing streak and moved to 3-2 in the Sun Belt Conference following an impressive 40-24 road win over first-place ULM last week. Saturday's bout with Florida marks the second non-conference game the Cajuns will play against an opponent from a BCS conference this season, having lost to Oklahoma State in Stillwater on Sept. 15, 65-24. With 35 ppg and 435.5 ypg, Louisiana has one of the most explosive offenses in the Sun Belt. It logged its fourth 40-point effort against ULM a week ago, paced by a career-high 460 yards of offense and five touchdowns from quarterback Terrance Broadway. Broadway has been played well all season, especially since taking over the full-time starting gig from Blaine Gautier in October. He has completed more than 64 percent of his passes for 1,624 yards with 12 touchdowns to six interceptions, and he's also made plenty of plays with his legs outside the pocket with 320 rushing yards and five touchdowns. The rushing attack hasn't been dynamic outside of Broadway, but both Alonzo Harris (462 yards, four TDs) and Effrem Reed (311, three TDs) have brought stability to the running back position. The Cajuns' defense has left a lot to be desired, as they have allowed opponents to score more than 28 ppg. Safety Rodney Gillis has been one of the Sun Belt's best defensive players with 47 tackles, four interceptions, and a fumble recovery. Louisiana has just 13 sacks on the season, 4.5 of which belong to Christian Ringo.
Florida wrapped up its SEC slate earlier than any other team, winning seven of eight conference matchups, including last week at home over Missouri, 14-7. The Gators' only loss this season came in a neutral-field clash with Georgia (17-9), and they need a Georgia loss at Auburn this week if they hope to qualify for the SEC Championship Game. Last week's game was an offensive struggle to say the least for Florida, as it earned just 276 yards and 11 first downs, but thanks to a pair of big scoring plays from Omarius Hines and Mike Gillislee, it was able to come away with a win. While the Gators rarely struggle that badly, a high-powered offense is not the reason for their success as they have rather modest numbers (26 ppg, 332.8 ypg). Jeff Driskel has completed 63.3 percent of his passes and has tossed nine touchdowns against only three interceptions, but he has not been known for his passing prowess as he racks up under 140 passing yards per game. Gillislee has been a workhorse for the Gators as he's taken nearly half of their 392 carries this season, resulting in 797 yards (4.5 ypc) and seven touchdowns. He has rushed for 100 yards on three different occasion this season, although he hasn't done so since Oct. 6 against LSU. While the offense has gotten by, the Florida defense has been spectacular, ranking fourth in the nation in points allowed (12.1 ppg) and fifth in yards surrendered (286.9 ypg). Last week the unit picked off Missouri quarterback James Franklin four times, bringing its takeaway total to 22 on the season.
Free Pick: I feel the right way to look at this one is on the under. This Florida defense is awesome this year, allowing just 286.9 ypg and 12.1 ppg on the year. They have even better numbers in the Swamp, where they have allowed just 254.4 ypg and 7.6 ppg. No matter how good the Ragin Cajun offense is within the Sun Belt, they will not do damage vs this Gator squad in this one. On offense the Gators have put up just 23 total points in their last 2 games. Their offense has been inconsistent all year and now that they are finished with their SEC schedule I look for their offense to be a little vanilla for the next couple of weeks, before their big game vs Florida State. Even vs a bad Sun Belt defense I just don’t see the Gators putting up more than 35 points, while UL Lafayette will not reach double digits here. Look for the low 40’s at best here.
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