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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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CFB Saturday Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons: Start Time, Spread, Free Pick

College football Saturday and we will see the Kent State Golden Flashes travel to Bowling Green, Ohio to take on the Bowling Green Falcons. The game is scheduled for a 12:00 PM (Eastern) start time and it will be televised live on Gameplan. Currently the odds for the game have Bowling Green favored by 2.5 points, while the total sits at 47. Check out Sportsbook Spy to find out what side the Public is taking on all today's games.

Free Analysis: After winning its eighth straight game with a 48-32 victory over Miami-Ohio last weekend, Kent State made its first appearance in the top 25 since 1973. At 9-1 Kent State has been one of the best non-BCS conference squads in the country and joins Toledo and Ohio as teams from the MAC to have gotten into the national rankings this season. Even with the national ranking Kent State players are well aware the season is far from over. Offensive success has keyed Kent State's rise this season. Even though the Golden Flashes are a middle of the road squad in terms of total offense in comparison to the rest of the MAC (402.4 ypg, seventh) the Golden Flashes have been one of the best teams in terms of scoring, posting 35.4 points per game, which is second in the conference. Kent State relies on a run-first offense that has picked up 2,357 yards on the ground to just 1,667 through the air. Not many teams in the country can boast a 1,000-yard rusher this season, but Kent State has been blessed with a pair of such backs. Trayion Durham is the leader with 1,059 yards and 13 touchdowns on 210 carries. However Dri Archer has been the more exciting option as he has averaged 9.7 yards per carry en route to 1,043 yards and 12 touchdowns. Luke Patton has been a tackling machine for the Golden Flashes racking up 99 stops this season. Batton has also contributed beyond his tackling prowess with a pair of interceptions and four fumble recoveries. Luke Wollet and Mark Fackler have also helped Kent State accumulate the most turnovers in the conference (30) with three interceptions a piece. Jake Dooley is the lead pass rusher with 5.5 sacks, while Roosevelt Nix (12.5 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks) has also been a problem for opposing offensive lines to handle.

Although it is not in the nationally rankings, Bowling Green has enjoyed a rather successful season. The Falcons are 7-3 overall after a 26-14 win over Ohio on the road last weekend. That victory was the sixth straight victory for Bowling Green which is bowl eligible for the first time since 2009. At 5-1 in conference play the Falcons are a game behind 6-0 Kent State in the MAC East. Offense has not been a big part of Bowling Green's success this season. The Falcons are the third worst team in the conference in terms of yards gained (373.9 ypg), while scoring nearly 24 points per game. Bowling Green's offense has struggled to convert in the red zone with a conference worst 64.9 percent rate of success from within 20 yards of the end zone. At the quarterback position is Matt Schilz, who has thrown for 1,843 yards and 10 touchdowns, while completing 56.6 percent of his pass attempts. His 114.4 passer efficiency rating is the third worst in the MAC. Running back Anthon Samuel has been the most consistent offensive weapon for the Falcons. Samuel has rushed for 906 yards and 10 touchdowns and is one of eight rushers in the MAC to average more than 100 yards rushing per game (100.7 ypg). Bowling Green has been the superior defensive squad in the conference by far this season, surrendering 285.4 yards and 15.1 points per game. Both of those marks are the best in the MAC with the Falcons' efforts in total defense 90 yards fewer than the next best team. Chris Jones has terrorized opposing backfields to lead the Falcons with 11.5 sacks and 17.0 tackles for loss. Those are both the best marks in the conference and rank third nationally.

Free Pick: Another game I like the Under in. This Kent State offense is pretty high octane, but they will be facing perhaps the hottest defense in the nation. Bowling Green has allowed just 7.8 pg in their last 6 games and in last weeks game vs a high powered Ohio team they allowed just 14 points and 244 yards. I see this defense keeping Kent State under wraps here. The Kent defense has not been that strong, but this Bowling Green offense is pretty conservative and not all that explosive. They will take their time moving the ball downfield and that will eat Clock. I look for this one in the low 40’s.

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