It’s the BitCoin St Petersburg Bowl and the NC State Wolfpack will take on the Central Florida Knights at Tropicana Field in St Petersburg, Florida. The game has a start time of 8:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas odds have the Knights listed as 2.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 48.5.
Analysis: The NC State Wolfpack come into this game having won three of their last 4 games to put their season record at 7-5 and into this bowl. The Wolfpack are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, but just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf. The Over is 8-3-1 in the Wolfpack's last 12 vs. a team with a winning record, while the Under 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. NC State has been a rather average offensive team this year, ranking 65th in total yards, 97th in passing, 37th in rushing and 61st in scoring (29.8 ppg). The defense for the Wolfpack has been average as well, ranking 50th in yards allowed, 29th vs the pass, 78th vs the run and 68th in points allowed (27 ppg).
The Central Florida has had a very nice year as they went 9-3, including 7-1 in Conference USA. The Knights did start the year at 0-2, but rattled off wins in 9 of their last 10 games and have won 4 in a row heading into this game. The Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The Under is 4-0 in the Knight's last 4 vs. ACC, while the Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. This has not been a good offensive squad this year, ranking 101st in total yards, 65th in passing, 105th in rushing and 71st in scoring (28.2 ppg). The defense has been exceptional for this team, as they come in ranked 3rd in yards allowed, 11th vs the pass, 5th vs the run and 8th in points allowed (17.9 ppg).
Pick: Ok getting back to what I do better and that's take Unders. LOL I just can't see this as a high scoring game. The UCF defense has been excellent this year and have had extra time to prepare for a rather average NC State offense that is 61st in scoring and 65th in total offense. The NC S6tate is not terrible bad, as they allow 27 ppg, but in their last 2 games they gave up a total of 20 points, including just 7 points to a high powered North Carolina offense. Tonight they will be taking on less than average UCF offense that has scored just 20.8 ppg in their games away from home this year and that is 101st in total offense for the season. The Wolfpack is 29th in the nation vs the passing is the strength of this Knight offense, even though their passing game is 65th in the nation. The Knights have allowed just 17.9 ppg on the year and have allowed more than 14 points just twice in their last 10 games. The Knights allowed 30 points in their last game which was vs East Carolina and in two other occasions that they allowed 30+ points this year they came back to allow just 7 points in their next game. this is a proud defense and im sure they will be ready for this one, while an improving NC State defense should be able to handle a very conservative Knights offense that doesn't score well away from home.
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