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Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Basketball Betting Odds Virginia Cavaliers vs Syracuse Orange Free Pick

Monday night college basketball and we will see the Virginia Cavaliers travel to the Carrier Dome to take on the Syracuse Orange. The game has a start time of 7:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas betting odds have the Virginia listed as 5.5 point favorites, while the total is set at 113. 

Analysis: The Virginia Cavaliers have won 8 games in a row since their lone loss of the year, which was to Duke at the end of January. The Cavs are now 27-1 overall, while leading the ACC by 2 games over Duke with a 15-1 record. As of now it looks like Virginia is in line for a number 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Cavs have gone 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, but just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win. The Cavaliers have not been a very good offensive team this year, ranking 204th in scoring (66.1 ppg), 63rd in shooting (46.3%), 98th in 3 point shooting (36.0%) and 72nd in FT shooting (72.1%). Defensively the Cavs have been excellent this year, ranking 1st in points allowed (50.1 ppg), 2nd in defensive FG% (35.4%) and 31st in 3 point defense (30.5%). 

The Syracuse Orange really have nothing to play for this year after the put self-imposed bans on themselves, which will keep them from any post-season play this year, including the ACC tournament. Its starting to show with this team as they have won just 4 of their last 10 games to fall to 8-7 in the ACC for the year and 18-11 overall. Syracuse has gone 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 vs. the ACC and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Orange have been an average offensive squad this year, ranking 148th in scoring (68.7 ppg), 184th in shooting (43.5%), 310th in 3 point shooting (30.5%) and 281st in FT shooting (66.0%). The defense for this team has been solid as they come in ranked 94th in points allowed (63.3 ppg), 68th in defensive FG% (40.3%) and 45th in 3 point defense (31.2%).

Pick: I will go with the Under in this game. Boy I can almost see the Orange being held in the 40s in this game by a very tough Virginia defense that is just getting stronger as they have allowed just 47.9 ppg in their last 7 games, holing 5 of those opponents to less than 50 points. This is a tough defense and Syracuse has had issues scoring of late, putting up just 60 ppg in their last 3 games. One area the Cuse has not had problems in this year has been their defense, especially at home where they have allowed just 59.2 ppg. and they are taking on a Virginia offense that has averaged just 62.4 ppg in their last 5 games. This should be an extremely slow paced game between two teams that place exceptional defense and facing a couple of struggling offenses. I look for 108 or less to be scored in this one.  

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