Saturday college basketball and we will see the NC State Wolfpack travel to the KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals. The game has a start time of 4:00 pm (Eastern) and will be televised on ESPN. Current Vegas betting odds have Louisville listed as 10 point favorites, while the total is set at 133.  

Analysis:  The NC State Wolfpack come in struggling right now as they have won just 1 of their last 6 games to fall to 14-11 overall and just 5-7 in ACC Play. NC State has gone 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 vs. the ACC. The Wolfpack have been a good offensive team this year, ranking 83rd in scoring (71.5 ppg), 119th in shooting (44.6%), 87th in 3 point shooting (36.3%) and 223rd in FT shooting (67.6%). The defense for this team has been average this year as they come in ranked 170th in points allowed (66.0 ppg), 77th in defensive FG% (40.3%) and 124th in 3 point defense (32.9%).  

The Louisville Cardinals come in having won 5 of their last 6 games. In their last game the bounced back from a tough road loss at Virginia to bet Pittsburgh by 13 at home. The Cardinals are now 20-4 on the year, including 8-3 in the ACC. The Cards have gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, but just 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 home games. Louisville has been a good offensive team, as they come in ranked 76th in scoring (71.9 ppg), 155th in shooting (43.9%), 313th in 3 point shooting (30.1%) and 241st in FT shooting (67.1%). Defensively the Cardinals have been excellent, ranking 17th in points allowed (58.4 ppg), 7th in defensive FG% (37.3%) and 15th in 3 point defense (29.1%). 

Pick: Going with the Under in this game. NC State has played some high scoring games on the road this year, but this will not be one of them. Louisville has been a very good defensive team this year, especially at home where they have allowed just 53.1 ppg so far. Very hard to see NC State coming close to the 68.9 ppg that they have averaged on the road so far. Louisville has not been a great offensive team this year and has been horrible from long distance and the FT line, while NC State has also been bad at the line. 70-58 sounds about right for this one. 

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