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Stories

Stories

Sports news with a Vegas perspective.

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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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    Yesterday - 10:42 AM

2012 Super Bowl Betting and Handicapping Tips

The 2012 Super Bowl is a dead even match.  The Patriots have the better quarterback and the slightly better offense.  The Pats offense has averaged 39 more yards per game this season than the Giants, but the Giants have the better defense, allowing an average of 34 fewer yards to their opponents than New England.

Each team has allowed the same number of sacks per pass attempt, and both defenses have sacked the opposition almost the exact same number of times per attempt.  Interceptions per pass attempt are also exactly equal, as are both total fumbles and fumbles lost.  .

In their prior game this season, which was played at New England, the Patriots moved the ball 82 more yards than the Giants.  The Giants, however, won the game by 4 on a final touchdown scored in the last 15 seconds of a game that saw the lead change hands multiple times. 

The 82 extra yards gained by New England is exactly equal to the number of additional yards that New England averages on their home field over their overall numbers.  Those 82 additional yards will disappear at the neutral Super Bowl location. 

Expect another back and forth contest, with the team that scores last winning again.  An accurate prediction on the side is impossible.  The best bets in Las Vegas for this Super Bowl will be on the total points and the many propositions that can be statistically handicapped, and are not strictly based on luck. 

Consider the game itself like the coin toss.  If you bet it laying 11-10 or worse, you should probably sit down and have a long talk with yourself.  Keep the side bets to fun bets at even money with your friends, but, of course, only in those states where betting between individuals is  legal.     

MovieSuperbowl Betting Props - Giants vs Patriots
Host Marco D'Angelo and Pregame Pro Scott Spreitzer discuss the value in the kicking props due to indoor game and Patriot zone creates opportunities for unique running game props.