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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
  • Last Update:
    01/17/2019 7:25 AM

NFL FUTURES.."130 UNITS" PENDING..TIME to CASH IN !!

Allright Gentlemen...Back in August we placed our AFC 5* FUTURE GOY on SD CHARGERS +1000...And we placed our NFC 4* FUTURE GOY on NO SAINTS +2000...

Well, we are now in the EXACT position that I had hoped for...Which is to get into the Playoffs, hopefully get a bye in the 1st Round, and play at least 1 home game so that we are Favored...And so far, all 3 wishes have come to fruition...

If you remember, last year we Won our NFL FUTURE on STEELERS +1300...And to be perfectly honest, with only 8 teams left in the Playoffs...I really like our chances of repeating that feat in this year's Super Bowl...

But with that said...we head into the Divisional Playoff Weekend...with "130 UNITS" sitting on the table, just waiting to enter into our Bank-Rolls...

Now if you remember, I have written in countless blogs that just like I keep an entirely seperate bank-roll for my daily "Middles", "Scalps", ect...I also keep a very seperate bank-roll for my "Futures"...And the reason I do so, is because they are both totally different businesses than my daily wagering...And if you treat sports betting like a business, I promise you that it will eventually pay out like one...

And by seperating these businesses, I am able to take all of the guess work out of the equation...And make sure that I don't allow any bias get in the way of doing the right things...This also allows me to work on my daily grind, without even considering what's going on with my futures, or middles...So that my opinions are always based on facts, and not hopes...

The bottom line for this weekend is this...Not only do we have "130 Units" still alive...but we have BOTH of our teams favored by an entire TD...And because it will only cost us 10cent more to take those lines up to +7.5 (-120)...there is incredible value in attempting a "middle" and eliminating any risk of not making a profit...

Because those of you who followed me on the FUTURE GOY BETS...are now able to GUARANTEE PROFIT...which in this business, is a very difficult thing to do...

So if you are currently in a stage where you are trying to build your bankroll up to where you can then simply straight bet everything, without trying to add more to your bank-roll, to increase your unit size...then the plan of attack is simple...Go ahead and HEDGE BOTH BETS and take the DOGS +7.5...

And I would do this for at least 10 UNITS...Because this way, at the very least...you will double your investment...Which isn't a bad return in 5 months time...More importantly, you just may cash those Bets...and still have your FUTURE BETS alive going into the Conference Championships...And then be faced with another welcomed decision...

Now because I always am straight with my guys...and tell them exactly what I am doing, I'm going to let you in on my plan of attack...

 

And that is...I'm Not Going to Do Anything...

That's correct, just like my +5000 World Series Future back in 2005 on the CWS...where I didn't hedge a single penny...I'm not going to hedge a single penny this weekend...

Not because I am sure that Both, SD & NO are going to cover the spread...But because I just feel that I am getting so much the best of it, that I don't want to give them a chance to get any of it back...

Now what you need to understand is this...I am currently not trying to build the bank-roll that I use for myself, or for the fund that I manage...Because we are at a very comfortable unit size for both of those bank-rolls, and I am not trying to increase our unit size at this time...So we are not trying to build our business, we are trying to profit from it...And those are 2 very different things that every sports bettor needs to understand...

So for this weekend, I will keep those FUTURE BETS in the drawer...and not even consider them for my wagering this weekend...Because I will not allow them to make me bias at all, and through the years...I have really gotten good at being able to do this...

I could have very easily just said that I am hedging 10 Units, and do what I can to add to our 2010 Balance...But then I would be telling you something that isn't true, and that I myself am not doing...And I could never do that, so instead, I decided that I would go ahead and be honest...while advising those of you who are currently trying to build your bank-rolls, on what I would do if I were in your position...And in that case, the plan of attack would be simple...LOCK in PROFIT...

But for myself...I'm going to let it ride at least another round...And if both of those Favs go down on the ML, and I lose -9 units...I wouldn't be angry at myself at all, because it's a decision I made based on the fact that I believe I am getting the best of it...And am in an ideal spot to have at least 1 of my Futures get to the next round...If of course both road teams don't advance...

Thanks again for all your support...and thanks to those who went ahead and got on board and made those Futures with me...Truth is, 5*s is the biggest bets that I make...And I don't make them without really feeling strongly that I have a great opportunity to cash...So you can be sure that even if it's on a Future Bet...I am taking an extremely big position...

I will be back with a follow-up after this weekend's games...and see where we stand...And don't forget, we still have a nice sized FUTURE ticket on TEXAS & TENN in CBB...Who both look pretty good so far and should at the very least, get to the big dance...and maybe do some damage when they get there...Best of Luck, Vegas-Runner...

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