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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
  • Last Update:
    06/08/2017 10:19 AM

COULD THIS BE A GOOD DAY FOR CONTRERAS? YUP.

I am not a fan of Jose or the Sox, but there are times when the construction of a strike zone perfectly suits a questionable pitcher.

 

Jose has contrived a 1.27 WHIP over his last three starts and he also threw a 1 hitter over 8 innings against Detroit in his last game. Give or take a few lefties, Detroit pushes a lot of power from the right side of the plate (Just like Milwaukee). Jose is a Righty, and Milly is VERY anemic VS Right Handed Pitching. JOSE IS .207 AGAINST RIGHT HANDERS!

So I think we have a primitive set of tangibles that suggest a potentially sluggish scenario for Brewer Bats.

 

Then we add Andy Fletcher!

For the last three seasons, Andy has not AVERAGED over 8 runs per game. This year he's averaging 6.79 Runs per game. It's mostly bolstered by a 1.1 Home Run Average, but that belies the real truth behind the Fletcher Strike Zone. He's a guy that favors a low zone, ground ball, pitcher..........HMMMMMM?

We only have one RECENT start for Jose in the face of the Fletcher zone, and here it is (May 25, 2008):

Chicago White Sox
Pitchers IP  H  R ER BB SO HR PC-ST ERA
J Contreras 8.0 3 2 2 0 10 1 107-71 3.06

 

 *Almost 70% strikes

*8 innings with only 3 hits.

*10 STRIKEOUTS and NO WALKS......

 

That's Jose and Fletch dancing together ONE YEAR AGO.

 

If you add that dynamic to the recent win over the Tigers by Jose, then you MIGHT consider him as a potential strength in an UNDER or in a wager on the Sox. I'm not sure if the shadow still extends between the pitcher and the batter in a 3 PM CST game in Milwaukee, but there is always an advantage for the pitcher in sunny, early games in Brew Town.

 

I'm just offering this information as a supplement to whatever capping you've already done.

 

Fade it or follow it...those are the numbers....

 

 

 

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After retiring as a stock trader, The King Maker became a professional bettor. A legend on the Pregame Forums, The King Maker developed the unique and winning "Kingmaker" MLB system; in football, his personal... Read more

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